PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Smallbet8

0x6eb4c9534e4ac2a41c62cf6a45c59613448dd18e

Realised P&L
$43.54
Volume
$8.3k
Markets traded
328
Open portfolio
$19.90

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded328
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on October 1? · Yes0.0400.085$1.91+$1.01
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on October 3? · Yes0.0100.050$1.50+$1.20
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 2? · Yes0.0400.042$1.25+$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on October 1? · Yes0.0380.065$1.14+$0.47
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 2? · Yes0.0400.035$1.06−$0.14
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on October 1? · Yes0.0330.035$1.04+$0.06
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 2? · Yes0.0300.029$0.87−$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on October 2? · Yes0.0300.026$0.78−$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on October 2? · Yes0.0400.024$0.70−$0.49
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 1? · Yes0.0400.021$0.63−$0.57
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 1? · Yes0.0260.021$0.61−$0.17
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on October 1? · Yes0.0400.021$0.61−$0.58
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 1? · Yes0.0130.022$0.51+$0.21
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on October 2? · Yes0.0300.017$0.49−$0.41
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 2? · Yes0.0100.016$0.47+$0.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 20:10Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 2?SELL0.007$0.04
09-03 11:09Will CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador win on 2026-09-03?SELL0.48$9.60
09-03 09:14FC Basel 1893 vs. FC Sion: O/U 5.5SELL0.87$17.40
09-03 09:14FC Basel 1893 vs. FC Sion: O/U 4.5SELL0.75$15.00
09-02 18:50Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-1.5)SELL0.28$5.60
09-01 20:52Udinese Calcio vs. Venezia FC: O/U 0.5SELL0.06$1.20
06-30 19:26Spread: Mexico (-1.5)SELL0.8$16.00
06-30 06:24Spread: Mexico (-1.5)SELL0.8$4.00
06-30 04:11Spread: Mexico (-1.5)SELL0.8$2.74
06-27 11:07Spread: England (-4.5)SELL0.86$2.17
06-23 12:19Spread: England (-4.5)SELL0.9$18.00
06-23 12:15Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?SELL0.34$6.80
06-23 12:14Spread: Morocco (-1.5)SELL0.37$7.40
06-22 16:11Spread: Argentina (-1.5)BUY0.6$12.00
06-22 15:28Spread: Argentina (-1.5)SELL0.59$11.80