PolyBot

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Traders

cleokuhn

0x97e5417dd91b17fe7caf6fbae012d7190e3bee18

Realised P&L
$-20.25
Volume
$1.9k
Markets traded
236
Open portfolio
$322.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded236
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on November 3? · No0.6900.780$15.20+$1.75
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on November 2? · No0.7300.775$14.02+$0.81
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on November 2? · No0.7200.685$12.97−$0.66
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on November 2? · No0.7600.935$12.63+$2.36
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on November 2? · No0.6600.610$9.05−$0.74
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on November 2? · No0.8000.935$8.70+$1.26
Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on November 2? · No0.7400.810$8.41+$0.73
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on November 2? · Yes0.2600.335$7.89+$1.77
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on November 3? · No0.6000.875$7.81+$2.46
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on November 2? · No0.6900.610$7.58−$0.99
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on November 3? · No0.8000.885$7.49+$0.72
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on November 2? · No0.8000.800$7.42+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on November 3? · No0.7000.720$7.29+$0.20
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on November 1? · No0.7500.983$7.18+$1.70
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on November 3? · No0.6700.655$7.15−$0.16

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 23:14Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on November 1?SELL0.992$12.79
11-01 22:14Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on November 1?SELL0.999$11.10
11-01 20:19Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on November 1?SELL0.99$4.96
11-01 19:13Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on November 1?SELL0.9$9.00
11-01 19:05Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on November 1?SELL0.995$5.75
11-01 18:54Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on November 1?SELL0.996998004$4.99
11-01 18:07Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on November 1?SELL0.99$5.53
11-01 17:12Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on November 3?BUY0.79$3.95
11-01 16:00Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on November 1?SELL0.99$8.44
11-01 15:38Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on November 1?SELL0.992$9.50
11-01 15:18Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on November 1?SELL0.99$26.12
11-01 15:13Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on November 2?SELL0.4178441393$13.08
11-01 15:12Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on November 2?SELL0.669379562$9.17
11-01 14:41Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 7°C on November 1?SELL0.971998004$4.87
11-01 14:12Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 1?SELL0.3672413793$3.19