Gavin Newsom Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-31
Resolves by: https://predictionmarketodds.com/dem-nomination-2028.html
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.17. up 0.07 over the period, from 0.10. Range 0.07 to 0.21. 170 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.18	1,552	1,552
0.19	1,035	2,587
0.20	335	2,922
0.21	181	3,103
0.26	406	3,509
0.27	5	3,514
0.29	250	3,764
0.30	40	3,804
0.40	1,283	5,087
0.45	380	5,467
0.46	60	5,527
0.64	330	5,857

Spread0.01Mid0.17

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.17	1,684	1,684
0.16	1,369	3,053
0.15	272	3,325
0.13	114	3,439
0.07	143	3,582
0.06	167	3,749
0.05	200	3,949
0.04	132	4,081
0.03	928	5,008
0.02	250	5,258
0.01	509	5,768

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.83	1,684	1,684
0.84	1,369	3,053
0.85	272	3,325
0.87	114	3,439
0.93	143	3,582
0.94	167	3,749
0.95	200	3,949
0.96	132	4,081
0.97	928	5,008
0.98	250	5,258
0.99	509	5,768

Spread0.01Mid0.82

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.82	1,552	1,552
0.81	1,035	2,587
0.80	335	2,922
0.79	181	3,103
0.74	406	3,509
0.73	5	3,514
0.71	250	3,764
0.70	40	3,804
0.60	1,283	5,087
0.55	380	5,467
0.54	60	5,527
0.36	330	5,857

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
sdfsdfsdfsdf2	Yes	699.99
Snoorrason	Yes	648.55
Dr.PNL	Yes	219.99
HerrieDavis	Yes	147.27
2B9S	Yes	146.55
sweetj	Yes	100
MMNiam	Yes	100
POB-T	Yes	95.24
AJSV	Yes	94.09
vinii	Yes	77.28
mehanizator	Yes	68
televisionloud	Yes	50
predictdogepepewif	Yes	50
frontiertrade	Yes	30
tradetosurvive1	Yes	19.99
pppnn	Yes	7.5
Elias.Thornwell	Yes	7.47
Hochul325	Yes	3
gonnakilmyslf	Yes	1
0xa5ef…2966	No	1,918.41

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
06:47:04	SELL	Yes	0.17	13	$2.15
14:20:37	SELL	Yes	0.17	100	$17.01
14:20:35	SELL	Yes	0.1992281782	1,481	$295.14
14:20:35	BUY	No	0.824424	100	$82.44
14:20:35	BUY	No	0.81	50	$40.50
14:20:35	BUY	No	0.81	273	$221.13
15:59:30	BUY	No	0.79	8	$5.93
15:59:27	SELL	Yes	0.21	172	$36.05
12:44:45	SELL	Yes	0.21	29	$6.16
08:17:21	SELL	No	0.8	119	$95.27
12:26:20	SELL	Yes	0.17	0	$0.07
08:36:28	BUY	No	0.8	10	$8.07
08:36:28	BUY	No	0.8	30	$23.68
08:36:28	BUY	No	0.8	10	$8.06
08:36:28	BUY	No	0.8	10	$8.06
08:36:28	BUY	No	0.8	10	$8.10
08:36:26	BUY	No	0.8	20	$16.00
08:36:26	BUY	No	0.8	10	$8.03
03:57:52	SELL	No	0.79	50	$39.50
03:06:11	BUY	Yes	0.17	103	$17.51
02:50:14	BUY	Yes	0.1607780406	321	$51.66
02:50:14	BUY	No	0.83	34	$28.22
02:50:14	BUY	No	0.83	5	$4.16
12:51:22	BUY	Yes	0.09	50	$4.50
09:26:14	BUY	Yes	0.09	100	$9.00