PolyBot

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Frontier AI labs announce new joint pacing agreement in 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.33. down 0.18 over the period, from 0.51. Range 0.25 to 0.52. 84 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.334040
0.342060
0.3545105
0.36480585
0.3720605
0.6721626
0.6825651
0.6950701
0.7520721
0.7750771
0.805776
0.926782

Spread0.01Mid0.33

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.326060
0.312080
0.30120200
0.2990290
0.28420710
0.27100810
0.26120930
0.2528958
0.241331,091
0.22201,111
0.10211,132
0.092001,332

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.686060
0.692080
0.70120200
0.7190290
0.72420710
0.73100810
0.74120930
0.7528958
0.761331,091
0.78201,111
0.90211,132
0.912001,332

Spread0.01Mid0.68

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.674040
0.662060
0.6545105
0.64480585
0.6320605
0.3321626
0.3225651
0.3150701
0.2520721
0.2350771
0.205776
0.086782

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
InterestingUserYes392.41
AAcountYes306.83
AJSVYes97.84
youtube-traderYes40
0x78c0…b3caYes40
tradetosurvive1Yes31.14
bechamelYes20
pppnnYes20
Hochul325Yes1.29
browneNo244.16
PavtheGreatNo160
ScientificOctopusNo151.67
0xDAC432f5A09b4B79ab5E259c30E51F8512E9a8c9-1762236145761No132.71
ArmageddonRewardsBillyNo100
monoclithNo34
GuyFromTinderNo29.7
pootytherewardfarmerNo25.05
KingsppNo20
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.No20
gthdtrlij549y89No20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
06:34:28SELLYes0.3230$9.60
21:39:07SELLYes0.302540$12.10
21:39:04BUYNo0.6920$13.80
21:39:04BUYNo0.66625160$106.60
18:30:43SELLYes0.3436$12.14
14:33:03BUYNo0.6460$38.40
11:57:49SELLYes0.30$0.09
11:56:01BUYYes0.3277$83.05
11:56:01BUYYes0.309999990920$6.11
09:29:06SELLNo0.717$12.00
09:02:42SELLYes0.2920$5.80
09:02:39BUYNo0.6946211501244$169.60
09:00:09SELLNo0.6650$33.00
07:55:34SELLYes0.310$0.04
07:55:31SELLYes0.310$0.04
07:39:58SELLYes0.3169$21.39
07:39:57BUYYes0.329999993721$6.80
07:39:57SELLNo0.6620$13.20
07:09:48SELLYes0.325639810413$4.12
07:09:48SELLYes0.327$2.35
07:09:45BUYNo0.669999988313$8.61
07:09:45BUYNo0.6593406579152$100.00
07:09:45BUYNo0.659999993120$13.40
05:46:58SELLNo0.6920$13.80
05:46:55BUYYes0.33520$6.70