PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x78c0ae4b164460b46d6c0558ee30e71dca79b3ca

Realised P&L
$-25.39
Volume
$932.87
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$308.37

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Republicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by September 30? · No0.7150.910$36.40+$7.80
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $200 in September? · Yes0.4990.495$29.73$0.21
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.39% in September? · Yes0.4600.465$23.25+$0.25
Will "Tesla" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of September 21? · No0.7340.736$22.07+$0.04
Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026? · No0.3130.785$18.46+$11.10
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? · Yes0.4800.440$17.60$1.60
Will Hayden Patriquin qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals? · Yes0.9000.790$15.80$2.20
Will "Red" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of September 21? · No0.7300.515$15.45$6.45
Will "Alien" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of September 21? · Yes0.4700.485$14.55+$0.45
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% in September? · Yes0.0710.145$14.50+$7.35
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% before 2027? · No0.7300.700$14.00$0.60
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 15? · Yes0.7600.685$13.70$1.50
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% before 2027? · Yes0.8000.665$13.30$2.70
Frontier AI labs announce new joint pacing agreement in 2026? · Yes0.3400.310$12.40$1.20
Will "Resident Evil" score at least 94 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · Yes0.8800.885$9.89+$0.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.