AAcount
0x4a73e5f86ea1f26ffebf216a44707114f866c046
- Realised P&L
- $577.20
- Volume
- $1.01M
- Markets traded
- 175
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded175
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$757.76at 0.097Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$416.55at 0.535Will John Cornyn win the first round of the Republican Senate primary election in Texas?
- +$413.59at 0.155Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
- +$362.28at 0.482Will the final be ESP vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$345.80at 0.308Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 18:07 | Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 18:05 | Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.01 | $3.00 |
| 10-31 18:04 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.009 | $9.00 |
| 10-31 18:02 | Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $69.00 |
| 10-31 18:01 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.72 | $72.00 |
| 10-31 18:01 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.71 | $35.50 |
| 10-30 14:03 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $35.50 |
| 10-30 13:34 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $41.50 |
| 10-30 12:24 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.016 | $41.32 |
| 10-29 13:33 | Will Amazon say "Live Sports" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.9 | $18.00 |
| 10-29 13:25 | Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida? | BUY | 0.65 | $16.25 |
| 10-29 13:22 | Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" or "Kamala" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.65 | $16.25 |
| 10-29 13:21 | Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.35 | $17.50 |
| 10-28 14:04 | Will Google say "Quantum" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.52 | $26.00 |
| 10-28 14:01 | Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.61 | $15.25 |