France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-11-16
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.035. down 0.021 over the period, from 0.056. Range 0.015 to 0.056. 10 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.038	309	309
0.039	50	359
0.040	4,993	5,352
0.043	2,120	7,472
0.044	250	7,722
0.045	1,050	8,772
0.046	3,923	12,695
0.047	11,074	23,769
0.048	4,727	28,496
0.049	5,805	34,301
0.050	1,011	35,311
0.055	903	36,214

Spread0.007Mid0.035

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.031	109	109
0.030	400	509
0.028	950	1,459
0.027	100	1,559
0.026	1,400	2,959
0.025	11,202	14,160
0.022	4,023	18,184
0.021	3,739	21,923
0.020	5	21,928
0.015	333	22,261
0.014	303	22,564
0.012	584	23,148

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.969	109	109
0.970	400	509
0.972	950	1,459
0.973	100	1,559
0.974	1,400	2,959
0.975	11,202	14,160
0.978	4,023	18,184
0.979	3,739	21,923
0.980	5	21,928
0.985	333	22,261
0.986	303	22,564
0.988	584	23,148

Spread0.007Mid0.966

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.962	309	309
0.961	50	359
0.960	4,993	5,352
0.957	2,120	7,472
0.956	250	7,722
0.955	1,050	8,772
0.954	3,923	12,695
0.953	11,074	23,769
0.952	4,727	28,496
0.951	5,805	34,301
0.950	1,011	35,311
0.945	903	36,214

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Afekeliav	Yes	1,964.39
ConCaMap88	Yes	1,340.8
Perypery	Yes	902.32
lissartter	Yes	702.9
Ohcrap	Yes	695.61
BikesAreTheBikes	Yes	504.54
2B9S	Yes	443.52
0xbE447E72F5F02302328F8eC77259441b09eBD10C-1733583994101	Yes	350.29
Numitus1994	Yes	303
waniman	Yes	247.56
0xcB7B050f7627951f4f0C6753caaB5E8969FC5d6d-1775374795900	Yes	139.24
ZhouCD	Yes	100
Spider429	Yes	95.23
AJSV	Yes	67.92
rocky42003	Yes	51.14
richyee	Yes	50
0xf45f68DF2146a915496baA96980eD0933835Dbfd-1762867485179	Yes	50
ghorrock	Yes	16.09
Cartujano	Yes	15.63
asdfasd11	Yes	10

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
01:56:15	SELL	Yes	0.031	50	$1.55
01:56:09	BUY	No	0.9689999921	1	$1.10
01:56:06	BUY	No	0.9675362311	1,764	$1706.42
01:31:15	BUY	No	0.9649999677	26	$24.66
00:30:57	BUY	Yes	0.04	249	$9.95
00:28:44	BUY	Yes	0.039	100	$3.90
00:27:11	BUY	Yes	0.038	692	$26.30
00:26:59	BUY	Yes	0.036	300	$10.80
23:17:59	SELL	Yes	0.031	100	$3.10
22:58:44	BUY	Yes	0.032	50	$1.60
22:35:36	SELL	No	0.97	169	$164.07
22:35:27	BUY	Yes	0.028548155	350	$10.00
22:27:38	BUY	Yes	0.024236398	248	$6.00
22:19:23	BUY	Yes	0.017	20	$0.34
22:19:03	SELL	Yes	0.017	30	$0.51
22:18:56	SELL	Yes	0.020344	500	$10.17
22:10:38	BUY	Yes	0.023	42	$0.97
22:08:00	SELL	No	0.977	58	$56.57
22:07:29	SELL	No	0.978	596	$582.97
22:00:36	SELL	Yes	0.014	50	$0.70
22:00:27	BUY	No	0.983	100	$98.29
22:00:27	BUY	No	0.984	50	$49.20
22:00:27	BUY	No	0.982	250	$245.50
22:00:27	BUY	No	0.981	254	$249.19
21:53:23	BUY	Yes	0.0231160682	346	$8.00