PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xbE447E72F5F02302328F8eC77259441b09eBD10C-1733583994101

0xbe447e72f5f02302328f8ec77259441b09ebd10c

Realised P&L
$298.52
Volume
$6.0k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$256.63

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration71.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration84.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.0600.065$216.67+$16.67
France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026? · Yes0.0290.035$12.08+$2.08
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? · Yes0.0190.017$9.49−$1.51
Paris curfew by October 24? · Yes0.0900.065$7.22−$2.78
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027? · Yes0.1200.075$6.42−$3.86
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · No0.0500.048$4.75−$0.25
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? · No0.0800.000$0.00−$13.19
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0660.000$0.00−$33.82

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 22:35France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026?BUY0.028548155$10.00
10-18 22:33Paris curfew by October 24?BUY0.0899999993$10.00
10-18 22:14Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?BUY0.1200405994$10.28
10-18 22:05Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?BUY0.0191329541$11.00
10-18 13:44Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?BUY0.06$200.00
10-18 13:43Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?BUY0.05$5.00
10-18 13:41Wuhan Tennis Open: Maja Chwalinska vs Sonay KartalSELL0.999$333.00
10-18 12:13Wuhan Tennis Open: Maja Chwalinska vs Sonay KartalBUY0.3599999971$30.00
10-18 11:25Wuhan Tennis Open: Maja Chwalinska vs Sonay KartalBUY0.2$50.00
10-16 17:08Wuhan Tennis Open: Iga Swiatek vs Maja ChwalinskaBUY0.8499999882$3.60
10-16 17:08Wuhan Tennis Open: Iga Swiatek vs Maja ChwalinskaBUY0.16$17.00
10-15 11:21Wuhan Tennis Open: Maja Chwalinska vs Maria SakkariBUY0.4453027117$9.48
07-06 20:49Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0659999982$33.82
04-12 18:29Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY0.08$13.19