0xcB7B050f7627951f4f0C6753caaB5E8969FC5d6d-1775374795900
0xcb7b050f7627951f4f0c6753caab5e8969fc5d6d
- Realised P&L
- $-270.77
- Volume
- $51.7k
- Markets traded
- 3,459
- Open portfolio
- $63.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,459
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration22.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$166.13at 0.011Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
- +$79.78at 0.078Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- +$52.42at 0.837Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
- +$34.93at 0.488Will Royal Challengers Bengaluru win the 2026 Indian Premier League?
- +$34.81at 0.780Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 17:00 | France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.019 | $0.95 |
| 10-18 16:45 | France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.018 | $1.43 |
| 10-16 19:33 | Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.00 |
| 09-28 19:36 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | SELL | 0.13 | $9.10 |
| 09-28 18:32 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $6.40 |
| 09-28 18:30 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.06 | $6.00 |
| 09-28 18:30 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.90 |
| 09-28 18:30 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.30 |
| 09-28 18:30 | Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | SELL | 0.0145524353 | $3.16 |
| 09-28 17:22 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | SELL | 0.82 | $8.20 |
| 09-19 08:15 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? | BUY | 0.041 | $1.64 |
| 09-16 04:30 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.40 |
| 09-15 21:03 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.049 | $2.45 |
| 09-14 16:03 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | BUY | 0.013 | $2.93 |
| 09-07 10:39 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.072 | $5.04 |