waniman
0x0627aef4f5648c6e996bd9c71c50dca1b8e682b1
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $94.2k
- Markets traded
- 369
- Open portfolio
- $723.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded369
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$107.30at 0.512Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be ≤2.1%?
- +$18.94at 0.721Will turnout in the 2026 Japanese snap election be between 56% and 58%?
- +$17.70at 0.284Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
- +$12.19at 0.629Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
- +$11.77at 0.934Will the Liberal Democratic Party win 250 or more seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 05:48 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 19? | SELL | 0.0319697581 | $1.27 |
| 10-18 05:43 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.4399999947 | $20.00 |
| 10-18 05:41 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.4282868491 | $50.00 |
| 10-18 05:41 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 19? | SELL | 0.2750129181 | $39.38 |
| 10-18 04:01 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.5363128492 | $30.00 |
| 10-18 00:54 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.2970296912 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 00:52 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.3194578493 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 00:49 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.3920876708 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 00:49 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.2186644352 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 00:47 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.4599999669 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 00:38 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by October 31? | BUY | 0.5307987656 | $50.00 |
| 10-18 00:36 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on October 18? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.07 |
| 10-18 00:35 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.156097561 | $10.00 |
| 10-18 00:34 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.9271666624 | $100.00 |
| 10-17 20:04 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by October 31? | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $20.00 |