Ohcrap
0x8212525bb2d892eb760f4f188870f923de3d5933
- Realised P&L
- $647.51
- Volume
- $850.6k
- Markets traded
- 434
- Open portfolio
- $526.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded434
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.8kat 0.206Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in February?
- +$4.8kat 0.268Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?
- +$1.6kat 0.416Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?
- +$1.5kat 0.560Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
- +$1.2kat 0.322Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 00:31 | Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.4159999978 | $60.00 |
| 10-25 22:07 | Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $50.00 |
| 10-22 00:53 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.2627992982 | $50.00 |
| 10-18 23:54 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999993 | $50.00 |
| 10-18 21:43 | France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.0215637938 | $15.00 |
| 10-18 20:36 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.06 | $25.00 |
| 10-18 15:26 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | BUY | 0.05 | $25.00 |
| 10-18 15:25 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.2819999993 | $50.00 |
| 10-12 03:50 | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | BUY | 0.3399999999 | $53.00 |
| 10-03 10:32 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.3073005137 | $50.00 |
| 10-03 10:10 | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | BUY | 0.3099999992 | $100.00 |
| 10-03 10:09 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.2969999997 | $100.00 |
| 10-03 00:31 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October? | BUY | 0.0449999999 | $15.00 |
| 10-03 00:26 | Liberty vs. Delaware | BUY | 0.0289999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-03 00:25 | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | BUY | 0.2999999985 | $20.00 |