PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Ohcrap

0x8212525bb2d892eb760f4f188870f923de3d5933

Realised P&L
$647.51
Volume
$850.6k
Markets traded
434
Open portfolio
$526.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded434
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? · Yes0.3740.115$168.40−$379.59
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.2960.150$139.82−$135.18
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes0.4160.649$93.61+$33.61
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? · Yes0.3200.385$60.16+$10.16
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.1200.130$54.17+$4.17
France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026? · Yes0.0210.009$5.91−$9.09
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0930.019$2.53−$9.55
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No0.2630.011$2.09−$47.91
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0720.000$0.00−$30.00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · No0.0310.000$0.00−$15.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October? · Yes0.0450.000$0.00−$15.00
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? · No0.0600.000$0.00−$25.00
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$50.00
Liberty vs. Delaware · Delaware0.0290.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 00:31Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?BUY0.4159999978$60.00
10-25 22:07Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?BUY0.32$50.00
10-22 00:53US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.2627992982$50.00
10-18 23:54Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.2799999993$50.00
10-18 21:43France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026?BUY0.0215637938$15.00
10-18 20:36US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.06$25.00
10-18 15:26US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?BUY0.05$25.00
10-18 15:25Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.2819999993$50.00
10-12 03:50Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?BUY0.3399999999$53.00
10-03 10:32Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.3073005137$50.00
10-03 10:10Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?BUY0.3099999992$100.00
10-03 10:09Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.2969999997$100.00
10-03 00:31Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?BUY0.0449999999$15.00
10-03 00:26Liberty vs. DelawareBUY0.0289999999$10.00
10-03 00:25Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?BUY0.2999999985$20.00