Spider429
0x0f5a0a535f33745afbaa783c7f8c0dad84c6e3f6
- Realised P&L
- $0.00
- Volume
- $127.42
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $22.06
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration53.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.695 | $11.75 | −$0.25 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.620 | 0.615 | $7.02 | −$0.06 |
| France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.035 | $3.29 | +$1.29 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 12-18? · Yes | 0.258 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 21:38 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6199999912 | $7.08 |
| 10-18 21:36 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999769 | $12.00 |
| 10-18 21:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.2579999995 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 21:24 | France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.0210026872 | $2.00 |