0xf45f68DF2146a915496baA96980eD0933835Dbfd-1762867485179
0xf45f68df2146a915496baa96980ed0933835dbfd
- Realised P&L
- $-0.53
- Volume
- $33.0k
- Markets traded
- 701
- Open portfolio
- $183.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded701
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.43at 0.230UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)
- +$27.69at 0.060Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?
- +$26.04at 0.320Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
- +$21.79at 0.427Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
- +$21.11at 0.180Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 02:18 | Will Uroš Medić fight Joaquin Buckley next? | BUY | 0.811 | $40.55 |
| 09-19 14:24 | Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during their summit? | SELL | 0.32 | $3.20 |
| 09-19 12:49 | Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.40 |
| 09-19 12:45 | Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? | BUY | 0.17 | $8.50 |
| 09-19 11:55 | Will Meta have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.081 | $1.62 |
| 09-19 11:49 | UFC 331: Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.69 | $11.04 |
| 09-18 12:34 | Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $13.30 |
| 09-17 12:16 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $12.50 |
| 09-17 08:26 | Will Muse be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? | BUY | 0.26 | $9.10 |
| 09-17 07:31 | Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.281 | $9.84 |
| 09-16 03:13 | Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $2.10 |
| 09-15 14:07 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.17 |
| 09-15 09:10 | Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $0.96 |
| 09-14 13:56 | Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $4.55 |
| 09-13 16:04 | Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $4.55 |