PolyBot

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Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-02
Resolves by
https://www.danubehis.org/results/HU442027_HYDRO
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.919. up 0.299 over the period, from 0.620. Range 0.550 to 0.919. 170 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.93755
0.9381621
0.93990111
0.943440551
0.944412963
0.9454951,459
0.9466152,073
0.9475112,584
0.9485883,172
0.949573,229
0.950803,309
0.9614123,721

Spread0.037Mid0.919

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.900225225
0.89644269
0.893264533
0.8928231,356
0.8911921,548
0.8901551,703
0.889481,751
0.888651,816
0.879401,856
0.876401,896
0.8661001,996
0.8621002,096

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.100225225
0.10444269
0.107264533
0.1088231,356
0.1091921,548
0.1101551,703
0.111481,751
0.112651,816
0.121401,856
0.124401,896
0.1341001,996
0.1381002,096

Spread0.037Mid0.082

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.06355
0.0621621
0.06190111
0.057440551
0.056412963
0.0554951,459
0.0546152,073
0.0535112,584
0.0525883,172
0.051573,229
0.050803,309
0.0394123,721

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Yes3,360.19
Sylvester.the.CatYes2,999.65
spaceloafYes991.29
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedYes872.45
mantou11Yes776.22
0x372a…f22aYes614.95
wert4Yes449.2
molodoyyYes444.96
neverhackmeYes378.35
trickykidYes291.67
haouibaoYes210
tradetosurvive1Yes183.88
pykueYes163
sunnynotbunnyYes147.22
LornaPredictsYes116.23
donthackmeYes90.64
aHjCzYes57.58
SlowbucksYes51.99
Z-11Yes50.36
PontiusPilateYes50

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
14:12:21SELLYes0.8975$4.49
14:11:53SELLYes0.8977$6.70
14:09:44SELLNo0.121176$21.29
14:09:42BUYYes0.862250$215.49
14:09:42BUYYes0.87424$21.30
14:09:42BUYYes0.8682537313335$290.86
14:09:42BUYYes0.86350$43.15
14:09:42BUYYes0.86193$80.07
14:09:42BUYYes0.859120$103.15
13:59:11SELLNo0.1420$0.01
13:57:36SELLNo0.1415$0.70
13:57:30SELLNo0.1416$0.90
13:57:29SELLNo0.1425$0.71
13:26:18SELLNo0.144102639392$13.27
11:28:30SELLYes0.8413$2.66
11:28:29SELLYes0.848648725232$26.96
11:28:03SELLYes0.8513$2.20
11:24:57SELLYes0.856$5.10
11:12:56BUYYes0.81350$40.65
11:12:23BUYYes0.811100$81.10
11:08:29BUYYes0.80960$48.54
10:25:54SELLYes0.7618$6.17
05:08:02SELLYes0.7544$3.23
05:08:00SELLYes0.76743$33.16
21:31:58SELLYes0.74755$41.09