trickykid
0x7f13bbfa90a0bf98da95eddc15d0133fee05d602
- Realised P&L
- $-2.1k
- Volume
- $136.7k
- Markets traded
- 231
- Open portfolio
- $126.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded231
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$247.70at 0.151Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?
- +$207.11at 0.047Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Cabo Verde?
- +$106.08at 0.510Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?
- +$101.11at 0.229Iran strike on Israel before November?
- +$97.70at 0.230Tesla Robotaxi unveiling delayed?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 17:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4361838646 | $34.29 |
| 09-21 17:12 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.16 | $34.28 |
| 09-21 17:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4290591836 | $182.42 |
| 09-21 17:10 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | SELL | 0.18 | $191.20 |
| 09-21 17:09 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4211340194 | $23.75 |
| 09-14 17:11 | Cuban regime falls in 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $24.44 |
| 09-11 19:53 | Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.0989756077 | $47.52 |
| 09-11 19:51 | Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.098 | $0.83 |
| 09-11 19:50 | Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.098 | $1.15 |
| 09-04 10:52 | Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0302131056 | $2.16 |
| 08-18 16:22 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.22 | $4.40 |
| 08-18 09:57 | NVIDIA (NVDA) all-time high by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.6008334722 | $36.04 |
| 08-18 09:56 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.23 | $2.30 |
| 08-17 04:31 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 20:51 | Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.70 |