PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

trickykid

0x7f13bbfa90a0bf98da95eddc15d0133fee05d602

Realised P&L
$-2.1k
Volume
$136.7k
Markets traded
231
Open portfolio
$126.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded231
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4290.105$58.82−$181.64
Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.0990.057$28.52−$20.98
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027? · Yes0.2200.190$10.19−$1.59
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027? · Yes0.1000.079$7.87−$2.13
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? · Yes0.2450.120$7.34−$7.66
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel" before 2027? · Yes0.2140.115$5.38−$4.62
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027? · Yes0.1790.090$5.02−$4.98
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.2300.045$2.93−$12.07
Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.1660.000$0.00−$10.00
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31? · Yes0.8700.000$0.00−$10.00
Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00−$5.00
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Japan? · Yes0.1380.000$0.00−$10.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$7.00
Will the final be ESP vs NOR at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0690.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 17:12Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4361838646$34.29
09-21 17:12Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.16$34.28
09-21 17:10Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4290591836$182.42
09-21 17:10Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?SELL0.18$191.20
09-21 17:09Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4211340194$23.75
09-14 17:11Cuban regime falls in 2026?SELL0.13$24.44
09-11 19:53Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?BUY0.0989756077$47.52
09-11 19:51Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?BUY0.098$0.83
09-11 19:50Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?BUY0.098$1.15
09-04 10:52Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0302131056$2.16
08-18 16:22Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?BUY0.22$4.40
08-18 09:57NVIDIA (NVDA) all-time high by September 30, 2026?SELL0.6008334722$36.04
08-18 09:56Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?BUY0.23$2.30
08-17 04:31Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?BUY0.2$1.00
08-16 20:51Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?BUY0.17$1.70