0x372a2350c1889ec14949647bae29aac8380bf22a
0x372a2350c1889ec14949647bae29aac8380bf22a
- Realised P&L
- $83.16
- Volume
- $9.5k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $957.48
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.922 | $566.99 | +$210.56 |
| Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? · No | 0.711 | 0.925 | $390.49 | +$90.49 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$235.05at 0.766Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?
- +$176.75at 0.252Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
- +$169.29at 0.480Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?
- +$82.94at 0.710Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$75.51at 0.667Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 13:29 | Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.58 | $48.14 |
| 10-01 13:29 | Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.5797179253 | $102.76 |
| 10-01 13:29 | Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.579455221 | $205.53 |
| 10-01 13:25 | Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7106441842 | $300.00 |
| 07-27 14:54 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.5489656746 | $239.91 |
| 07-19 14:03 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.4249999915 | $15.00 |
| 07-19 14:02 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0899999949 | $15.00 |
| 07-19 14:02 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.1 | $15.00 |
| 07-19 14:01 | Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31? | SELL | 0.997 | $99.70 |
| 07-14 06:59 | Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31? | BUY | 0.7588914331 | $763.98 |
| 06-17 18:08 | Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $227.04 |
| 06-17 15:39 | Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.6599999993 | $150.00 |
| 06-17 15:39 | Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.3799999987 | $100.00 |
| 05-29 04:40 | Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? | BUY | 0.2899999979 | $93.00 |
| 05-26 12:40 | Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? | BUY | 0.369999998 | $100.00 |