Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-07-01
Resolves by: https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricing
Rewards: 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.82. up 0.27 over the period, from 0.56. Range 0.39 to 0.82. 158 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.84	1,436	1,436
0.85	1,399	2,835
0.86	731	3,565
0.90	101	3,666
0.91	49	3,716
0.92	10	3,726
0.95	10	3,736
0.96	88	3,824
0.98	53	3,877
0.99	38	3,914

Spread0.03Mid0.82

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.81	746	746
0.80	948	1,694
0.79	1,089	2,783
0.75	36	2,819
0.74	11	2,829
0.68	20	2,849
0.67	10	2,860
0.65	20	2,880
0.55	100	2,980
0.26	73	3,053
0.03	23	3,076
0.02	53	3,129

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.19	746	746
0.20	948	1,694
0.21	1,089	2,783
0.25	36	2,819
0.26	11	2,829
0.32	20	2,849
0.33	10	2,860
0.35	20	2,880
0.45	100	2,980
0.74	73	3,053
0.97	23	3,076
0.98	53	3,129

Spread0.03Mid0.17

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.16	1,436	1,436
0.15	1,399	2,835
0.14	731	3,565
0.10	101	3,666
0.09	49	3,716
0.08	10	3,726
0.05	10	3,736
0.04	88	3,824
0.02	53	3,877
0.01	38	3,914

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Hannah-Montana	Yes	583.8
KimchiCapital	Yes	465.7
Milksheen	Yes	274.88
Gaby99	Yes	100
molodoyy	Yes	29.99
AboveLookUp	Yes	20
0x45e606f7849330AdAd37875f835FBdD1B7868FCa-1775496679263	Yes	17.86
aandriy	Yes	10
pppnn	Yes	7.1
dgfd76	Yes	6.34
mr.coolio	Yes	5
AJSV	No	451.83
Seeking-Alpha01	No	299.18
WunnaWun	No	260
0x4025c911Cf213D04ff2d409BAEe57D1b270c3644-1781053677729	No	119.54
pootytherewardfarmer	No	73.8
youtube-trader	No	63.3
GuyFromTinder	No	47.43
Contentious-Dinnerdate	No	40
0xE8C6C48e73811aEB5340998ca00662eb696Bf7F6-1783025466960	No	40

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
05:20:21	BUY	Yes	0.81	20	$16.20
05:20:21	BUY	Yes	0.81	20	$16.20
05:20:21	BUY	Yes	0.81	20	$16.20
05:20:20	SELL	No	0.19	20	$3.80
19:38:41	SELL	Yes	0.77	7	$5.14
15:47:25	SELL	No	0.21	20	$4.20
15:20:09	BUY	No	0.22	20	$4.40
15:20:09	SELL	Yes	0.78	85	$66.30
12:56:30	BUY	No	0.2691546451	20	$5.44
12:56:30	BUY	No	0.25096525	120	$30.00
12:46:40	BUY	Yes	0.6839467468	466	$318.51
15:06:59	BUY	No	0.32	40	$12.80
13:55:11	SELL	Yes	0.73	20	$14.60
13:46:59	BUY	Yes	0.63	60	$37.79
07:01:11	BUY	No	0.25	100	$25.00
01:38:58	BUY	Yes	0.56	20	$11.20
12:33:57	BUY	No	0.4	35	$14.00
02:48:22	BUY	No	0.3958823529	85	$33.65
20:19:18	BUY	No	0.4	200	$80.00
20:01:37	BUY	Yes	0.7270713913	384	$279.05
19:57:45	BUY	No	0.5730899166	194	$111.28
19:35:43	BUY	No	0.54	20	$10.80
18:57:33	BUY	No	0.42	40	$16.80
18:52:19	BUY	No	0.38	20	$7.60
18:22:40	BUY	Yes	0.75	40	$29.92