Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 19, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-20
Rewards: 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.85. up 0.24 over the period, from 0.61. Range 0.57 to 0.91. 129 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.88	30	30
0.89	256	286
0.90	595	881
0.91	157	1,038
0.92	145	1,183
0.94	13	1,196
0.95	78	1,274
0.96	140	1,414
0.97	21	1,435
0.98	137	1,572
0.99	46	1,617

Spread0.06Mid0.85

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.82	72	72
0.80	20	92
0.78	20	112
0.76	28	140
0.67	20	160
0.66	13	173
0.65	200	373
0.55	20	393
0.54	6	399
0.45	300	699
0.05	5	704
0.03	18	722

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.18	72	72
0.20	20	92
0.22	20	112
0.24	28	140
0.33	20	160
0.34	13	173
0.35	200	373
0.45	20	393
0.46	6	399
0.55	300	699
0.95	5	704
0.97	18	722

Spread0.06Mid0.15

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.12	30	30
0.11	256	286
0.10	595	881
0.09	157	1,038
0.08	145	1,183
0.06	13	1,196
0.05	78	1,274
0.04	140	1,414
0.03	21	1,435
0.02	137	1,572
0.01	46	1,617

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
rando12345	Yes	389.55
sand1	Yes	236.53
0xA2770432A5E6Bd24c347c976b0D815db1f2C1182-1760945846787	Yes	225.99
KimchiCapital	Yes	140
2B9S	Yes	80
NoTeacher	Yes	72.92
liverpoolfc	Yes	56.99
parameter1	Yes	54.11
davhcc	Yes	30.6
agentcal	Yes	10
0x5825…f249	Yes	9.84
donthackme	Yes	9.4
galhammerman	Yes	1
AJSV	No	661.65
0xa5ef…2966	No	265.12
pootytherewardfarmer	No	81.9
lissartter	No	67.82
tradetosurvive1	No	65
GuyFromTinder	No	47.91
lplplplplplp	No	28

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
19:39:13	BUY	No	0.18	5	$0.90
17:14:52	BUY	Yes	0.8799999518	2	$1.46
17:14:39	BUY	Yes	0.88	5	$4.40
17:14:36	BUY	Yes	0.82	40	$32.80
16:47:09	SELL	Yes	0.78	10	$7.80
16:41:54	SELL	Yes	0.8	10	$8.00
14:48:06	SELL	Yes	0.8382857143	7	$5.87
14:38:04	SELL	Yes	0.84	7	$6.05
14:38:04	SELL	Yes	0.84	7	$5.88
14:26:22	SELL	No	0.14	20	$2.80
13:40:49	BUY	No	0.11	20	$2.22
11:09:18	BUY	No	0.11	7	$0.77
11:09:18	BUY	No	0.11	3	$0.31
11:09:17	BUY	No	0.11	10	$1.10
10:40:33	SELL	No	0.11	6	$0.70
09:36:36	SELL	No	0.11	24	$2.64
08:36:33	BUY	Yes	0.88	5	$4.40
08:36:33	BUY	Yes	0.8799999648	1	$1.00
08:36:33	BUY	No	0.15	20	$3.00
08:36:31	BUY	Yes	0.88	7	$6.20
08:36:31	BUY	Yes	0.8362642328	166	$138.81
08:04:27	BUY	No	0.2	20	$4.00
19:16:15	SELL	Yes	0.76	20	$15.20
19:16:12	BUY	No	0.19	20	$3.80
19:16:12	BUY	No	0.16	20	$3.20