davhcc
0xe056d413c6d7bc3e53671a859295275bc76c9230
- Realised P&L
- $-94.97
- Volume
- $733.60
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $162.41
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.890 | $18.77 | +$0.42 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in September? · No | 0.940 | 0.935 | $18.27 | −$0.10 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 5, 2026? · No | 0.979 | 0.965 | $18.10 | −$0.27 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on October 12, 2026? · Yes | 0.970 | 0.955 | $18.07 | −$0.29 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026? · No | 0.940 | 0.920 | $17.97 | −$0.39 |
| Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.880 | $17.95 | −$0.41 |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026? · No | 0.954 | 0.933 | $17.95 | −$0.39 |
| Will ISM Services PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in September? · No | 0.879 | 0.852 | $17.80 | −$0.57 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in September? · No | 0.910 | 0.870 | $17.54 | −$0.81 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.40at 0.510S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 28?
- +$15.53at 0.765Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$2.62at 0.876Will the highest geomagnetic storm level on October 2 be G1?
- +$-30.00at 0.200Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of July?
- +$-51.16at 0.431Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 00:02 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.9539999992 | $18.34 |
| 10-02 21:22 | Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.8699999948 | $18.35 |
| 10-02 18:18 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.979 | $18.37 |
| 10-02 16:36 | Will the highest geomagnetic storm level on October 2 be G1? | BUY | 0.8699999948 | $18.35 |
| 10-02 16:15 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in September? | BUY | 0.9099999985 | $18.35 |
| 10-02 16:08 | Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.9 | $18.36 |
| 10-02 15:13 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $18.36 |
| 10-02 15:12 | Will any other model be the best AI model on October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.9699999995 | $18.36 |
| 10-02 15:12 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in September? | BUY | 0.8789999954 | $18.37 |
| 10-02 14:31 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in September? | BUY | 0.94 | $18.37 |
| 07-31 01:17 | Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of July? | BUY | 0.4215447674 | $50.00 |
| 07-30 03:03 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31? | BUY | 0.4309999987 | $60.00 |
| 07-29 00:03 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7559999979 | $50.00 |
| 07-28 15:03 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 28? | BUY | 0.5 | $30.00 |