Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-12-31
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.17. down 0.05 over the period, from 0.23. Range 0.17 to 0.27. 146 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.18	196	196
0.19	1,937	2,133
0.20	2,022	4,154
0.21	2,202	6,356
0.22	435	6,791
0.23	512	7,303
0.24	1,352	8,656
0.25	2,278	10,934
0.26	394	11,328
0.27	386	11,714
0.28	379	12,093
0.29	2,840	14,933

Spread0.01Mid0.17

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.17	520	520
0.16	4,397	4,917
0.15	10,600	15,517
0.14	552	16,068
0.13	800	16,868
0.12	875	17,743
0.11	963	18,706
0.10	1,455	20,161
0.09	1,062	21,223
0.08	270	21,493
0.07	1,266	22,759
0.06	4,878	27,637

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.83	520	520
0.84	4,397	4,917
0.85	10,600	15,517
0.86	552	16,068
0.87	800	16,868
0.88	875	17,743
0.89	963	18,706
0.90	1,455	20,161
0.91	1,062	21,223
0.92	270	21,493
0.93	1,266	22,759
0.94	4,878	27,637

Spread0.01Mid0.82

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.82	196	196
0.81	1,937	2,133
0.80	2,022	4,154
0.79	2,202	6,356
0.78	435	6,791
0.77	512	7,303
0.76	1,352	8,656
0.75	2,278	10,934
0.74	394	11,328
0.73	386	11,714
0.72	379	12,093
0.71	2,840	14,933

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
RememberAmalek	Yes	13,165
novv25	Yes	11,267.72
Llama67	Yes	8,171.18
Logan.	Yes	7,346.12
compute	Yes	5,799.72
LinaBell	Yes	5,015.63
AlphaBetaGamma2357	Yes	5,000
mombil	Yes	5,000
PantheraUncia	Yes	5,000
Outsid3rTrading	Yes	5,000
TulipoII	Yes	4,592.57
0x00c049827Eb3206e63FbFF1C442132c454324610-1773587440475	Yes	3,901.47
Tnothcote	Yes	2,833.33
GayPride	Yes	2,804.34
endangered.species	Yes	2,000
Haradwaith	Yes	1,613.13
TheManInTheSky	Yes	1,485.64
FuckKhamenei	Yes	1,047.37
Boobavelli	Yes	1,020
QMG-CORE	Yes	1,000

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
20:18:51	BUY	No	0.8299999995	282	$234.00
20:04:27	BUY	Yes	0.18	95	$17.10
20:04:26	BUY	Yes	0.1799999997	2,833	$510.00
17:16:15	SELL	No	0.82	5	$3.79
15:27:57	BUY	Yes	0.1799998704	6	$1.00
14:57:00	SELL	Yes	0.17	100	$17.00
13:39:02	BUY	Yes	0.179999987	56	$10.00
12:46:17	SELL	No	0.82	100	$82.00
12:46:03	SELL	Yes	0.17	100	$17.00
12:18:00	BUY	No	0.83	40	$33.20
07:10:17	BUY	No	0.8299999967	12	$10.00
06:32:20	BUY	No	0.8299999087	1	$1.00
06:29:35	SELL	Yes	0.17	65	$11.05
06:12:23	SELL	Yes	0.17	50	$8.50
06:12:23	SELL	Yes	0.17	50	$8.49
05:32:45	BUY	Yes	0.1799998704	6	$1.00
03:21:02	SELL	Yes	0.16	191	$30.59
02:55:15	BUY	No	0.83	1,022	$848.65
02:49:27	SELL	Yes	0.17	50	$8.50
23:11:36	SELL	No	0.82	78	$63.63
23:05:09	BUY	Yes	0.1799999088	8	$1.50
22:14:06	BUY	Yes	0.1799999928	111	$20.00
19:02:24	BUY	Yes	0.17	35	$5.95
19:02:24	BUY	Yes	0.17	10	$1.70
19:02:24	SELL	Yes	0.17	15	$2.55