PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

FuckKhamenei

0xaef0d318ab2d3e2ae152609b9e8f450d955b4806

Realised P&L
$-9.0k
Volume
$645.9k
Markets traded
168
Open portfolio
$310.24

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded168
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration83.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
New pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0710.055$258.17−$76.05
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? · Yes0.6160.650$52.07+$2.68
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00−$199.99
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00−$3.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1990.000$0.00−$150.34
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? · No0.0610.000$0.00−$2.94
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00−$54.32
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.1980.000$0.00−$104.30
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September? · Yes0.0410.000$0.00−$40.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? · No0.2490.000$0.00−$83.77
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$250.20
Spread: France (-1.5) · France0.5800.000$0.00−$99.29
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance · Portugal0.3400.000$0.00−$708.45
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance · Brazil0.7100.000$0.00−$250.58
Spread: Argentina (-1.5) · Argentina0.6700.000$0.00−$185.57

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 19:04Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?BUY0.6164875537$49.39
10-08 19:03New pandemic in 2026?SELL0.05$50.00
10-07 07:45New pandemic in 2026?BUY0.07$84.00
10-06 04:18New pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0898981154$72.00
10-06 04:14New pandemic in 2026?BUY0.08$110.00
10-06 04:05New pandemic in 2026?BUY0.08$5.00
10-05 11:48New pandemic in 2026?BUY0.06$50.00
10-05 08:24Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?SELL0.44$56.57
10-05 00:22New pandemic in 2026?BUY0.06$21.00
10-05 00:22Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October?SELL0.19$22.74
10-04 19:42Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October?BUY0.1595822454$19.10
10-04 19:42New pandemic in 2026?SELL0.04$20.00
10-04 19:29Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?BUY0.3699999988$47.57
10-04 04:40New pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0584429626$50.00
09-14 17:06Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.16$31.37