PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

endangered.species

0xbc1dcd7b21793ebbced7ab780c3b00d6a356e2ff

Realised P&L
$9.5k
Volume
$158.0k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$9.6k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar6.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)81.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.7690.825$4.4k+$298.08
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? · No0.7890.835$2.1k+$115.28
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? · No0.7670.885$818.63+$109.02
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30? · No0.8600.945$633.75+$56.76
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by September 30? · No0.9150.940$595.02+$15.58
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · Yes0.1900.205$410.00+$30.00
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2960.375$375.00+$79.14
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 · Yes0.2500.130$260.00$240.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 13:05Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.85$850.00
09-10 09:11Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by September 30?BUY0.93$207.39
09-10 09:08Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?SELL0.9485090225$269.65
09-10 09:07Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?SELL0.987$0.97
09-10 09:07Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?SELL0.987$3.0k
09-07 13:35Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.76$1.8k
09-04 17:45Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?BUY0.94$37.59
09-04 17:44Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?BUY0.85$65.45
09-04 06:58Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.74$1.5k
09-03 21:21Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?SELL0.7713333333$57.85
09-03 20:56Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2958596$295.86
09-01 20:59Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?BUY0.87$141.81
09-01 20:52Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?BUY0.7799444797$564.73
08-31 14:47Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?BUY0.87$217.50
08-31 14:44Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by September 30?BUY0.9198$229.95