Arc FDV above $7B one day after launch?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.07 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.75 · takers only
Ends: 2028-01-01
Resolves by: https://x.com/arc
Rewards: 30 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.171. down 0.042 over the period, from 0.213. Range 0.137 to 0.538. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.299	108	108
0.300	20	128
0.587	17	145
0.588	40	185
0.589	50	235
0.590	500	735
0.788	5	740
0.789	473	1,213
0.790	1,714	2,927
0.860	1,786	4,713
0.886	25,579	30,292
0.900	31	30,323

Spread0.256Mid0.171

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.043	30	30
0.040	5	35
0.011	29	64
0.010	70	134
0.006	69	203
0.005	100	303
0.004	255	558
0.003	1,348	1,905
0.002	530	2,435
0.001	8,726	11,162

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.957	30	30
0.960	5	35
0.989	29	64
0.990	70	134
0.994	69	203
0.995	100	303
0.996	255	558
0.997	1,348	1,905
0.998	530	2,435
0.999	8,726	11,162

Spread0.256Mid0.829

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.701	108	108
0.700	20	128
0.413	17	145
0.412	40	185
0.411	50	235
0.410	500	735
0.212	5	740
0.211	473	1,213
0.210	1,714	2,927
0.140	1,786	4,713
0.114	25,579	30,292
0.100	31	30,323

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	352.48
pppnn	Yes	43.17
skenvern	Yes	30.6
BOOST250	Yes	30
hfv	Yes	30
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	25
0x1E0A87a0444EFF30015bd1877EF03C45f3fcB015-1771937690416	Yes	20
Mojito9	Yes	20
PPMT	Yes	3.29
63sdf	Yes	1.3
0x10020782129d2Cee10947f70914794d33E63B713-1771113824335	Yes	1.14
Numitus1994	Yes	1
SuperTests	No	139
SeniorLaghetto	No	120
PBH	No	63.29
citcap	No	60
cripes3	No	53.33
just-bettor	No	46.59
TheOne777	No	44.56
sludgelife	No	20.07

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
14:13:03	BUY	No	0.742	120	$89.04
16:01:37	BUY	Yes	0.2	20	$4.00
22:48:22	BUY	Yes	0.34	30	$10.20
22:31:18	BUY	Yes	0.33	30	$9.90
15:45:25	SELL	No	0.81	30	$24.30
15:44:41	SELL	No	0.817	30	$24.51
13:53:07	BUY	Yes	0.15	60	$9.00
21:37:05	SELL	No	0.81	30	$24.30
21:17:03	SELL	No	0.795	2	$1.49
21:16:50	BUY	Yes	0.1577757183	135	$21.28
21:06:54	BUY	No	0.8769999027	1	$1.00
05:24:39	SELL	No	0.821	30	$24.63
05:23:33	BUY	Yes	0.16	35	$5.60
05:06:14	BUY	No	0.813	25	$20.32
05:06:14	BUY	No	0.792	48	$38.02
05:06:12	BUY	No	0.792	55	$43.56
01:09:20	BUY	No	0.79	63	$50.00
03:47:08	SELL	No	0.821	1	$0.57
03:25:54	BUY	Yes	0.16	25	$4.00
03:25:54	SELL	No	0.85	25	$21.25
03:25:54	BUY	Yes	0.1789999998	24	$4.35
00:12:02	SELL	No	0.6718333333	60	$40.31
23:14:09	SELL	No	0.8	30	$24.00
23:14:00	BUY	Yes	0.142	90	$12.78
21:56:57	SELL	Yes	0.154	0	$0.00