0x1ef01de817862024966e8242e923a63c61f9e28e
0x1ef01de817862024966e8242e923a63c61f9e28e
- Realised P&L
- $-21.6k
- Volume
- $680.5k
- Markets traded
- 9,691
- Open portfolio
- $89.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded9,691
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration38.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$241.87at 0.065Will Matthew Rhys – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series?
- +$180.46at 0.011Will Lacy and Marlon beat the gaming challenge by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?
- +$174.05at 0.051Will MrBeast's next video get at least 40 million views on day 1?
- +$164.47at 0.051Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 44 million views on day 1?
- +$159.04at 0.051Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on day 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 07:03 | Jumper listed on OKX within 30 days of TGE? | SELL | 0.26 | $5.20 |
| 10-05 07:03 | Will Fresno State have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | SELL | 0.24 | $4.80 |
| 10-05 07:03 | Will Shas win less than 6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.61 | $12.20 |
| 10-05 07:02 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-01 House election by 12%-15%? | SELL | 0.77 | $15.40 |
| 10-05 03:03 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-01 House election by 0%-5%? | SELL | 0.896 | $18.82 |
| 10-05 03:02 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-04 House election by 5%-10%? | SELL | 0.885 | $17.70 |
| 10-05 03:01 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.96 | $19.20 |
| 10-05 02:59 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $198 in October? | SELL | 0.71 | $28.40 |
| 10-05 02:58 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $555 in October? | SELL | 0.38 | $14.44 |
| 10-05 02:54 | Will Washington State have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | SELL | 0.32 | $6.40 |
| 10-05 02:53 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.6549834165 | $13.20 |
| 10-05 02:51 | Will the Detroit Lions have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season? | SELL | 0.68 | $10.20 |
| 10-05 02:50 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.24 | $4.80 |
| 10-05 02:48 | Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.59 | $11.80 |
| 10-05 02:46 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.1665129124 | $3.80 |