PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

skenvern

0x0238e2c041abea60a2c851f0165d837ddc7483aa

Realised P&L
$509.28
Volume
$37.6k
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$96.81

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration85.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration96.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Arc FDV above $4B one day after launch? · Yes0.1030.240$93.60+$53.38
Arc FDV above $7B one day after launch? · Yes0.0040.105$3.21+$3.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-03 16:15Arc FDV above $4B one day after launch?BUY0.1031348718$40.22
06-30 17:53Arc FDV above $7B one day after launch?BUY0.0039803922$0.12
03-21 01:51Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.0857505613$1.1k
03-18 03:00Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.051$0.51
03-16 11:49Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.1408649667$643.69
03-16 07:48Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.1213473273$164.75
03-14 16:36Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.1013047197$18.19
03-14 16:35Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.22$18.19
03-12 17:17Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.1199999991$110.20
03-12 11:17Nebula3 FDV above $50M one day after launch?SELL0.003$0.04
03-12 10:02Nebula3 FDV above $50M one day after launch?SELL0.003$0.05
03-12 09:59Nebula3 FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.002$0.05
02-26 12:50Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?BUY0.21$4.20
02-24 11:57Will Wintermute be accused of insider trading?BUY0.0189054706$9.00
01-14 03:19Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY0.2399999986$100.45