cripes3
0x8454f39e7fa6957dfbf1ecc574820ada1c92331a
- Realised P&L
- $-117.2k
- Volume
- $23.17M
- Markets traded
- 2,672
- Open portfolio
- $26.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,672
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.2kat 0.638Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders
- +$20.8kat 0.784Troy Trojans vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers
- +$20.0kat 0.750Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougars
- +$17.4kat 0.456Pistons vs. Magic
- +$15.4kat 0.367Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 05:23 | US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | BUY | 0.42 | $840.00 |
| 09-08 23:35 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.58 | $464.79 |
| 08-31 05:51 | UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | SELL | 0.8519740279 | $4.3k |
| 08-31 05:48 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.84 | $8.4k |
| 08-31 05:43 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | SELL | 0.8267776516 | $10.4k |
| 08-25 06:25 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | SELL | 0.995 | $4.2k |
| 08-15 06:34 | Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.15 | $289.74 |
| 08-10 07:00 | Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.16 | $320.00 |
| 08-08 07:00 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.76 | $1.5k |
| 08-08 06:30 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | SELL | 0.01019314 | $20.39 |
| 08-07 04:46 | Will "Tony" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.06 | $18.00 |
| 08-04 04:12 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31? | SELL | 0.0234055333 | $7.02 |
| 08-03 06:53 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 in August? | SELL | 0.0400333333 | $12.01 |
| 07-25 23:28 | Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid? | SELL | 0.9148773278 | $933.43 |
| 07-18 07:24 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.73 | $2.2k |