Arc FDV above $5B one day after launch?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.07 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.75 · takers only
Ends: 2028-01-01
Resolves by: https://x.com/arc
Rewards: 30 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.19. down 0.04 over the period, from 0.23. Range 0.14 to 0.23. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.24	20	20
0.56	27	48
0.57	5	53
0.58	50	103
0.59	482	585
0.68	40	625
0.70	100	725
0.71	20	745
0.76	50	795
0.86	5	800
0.87	1,268	2,068
0.92	40	2,108

Spread0.10Mid0.19

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.14	25	25
0.13	30	55
0.12	30	85
0.10	31	116
0.07	5	121
0.06	40	161
0.05	100	261
0.04	73	333
0.03	70	403
0.02	220	623
0.01	13	636

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.86	25	25
0.87	30	55
0.88	30	85
0.90	31	116
0.93	5	121
0.94	40	161
0.95	100	261
0.96	73	333
0.97	70	403
0.98	220	623
0.99	13	636

Spread0.10Mid0.81

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.76	20	20
0.44	27	48
0.43	5	53
0.42	50	103
0.41	482	585
0.32	40	625
0.30	100	725
0.29	20	745
0.24	50	795
0.14	5	800
0.13	1,268	2,068
0.08	40	2,108

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
SuperTests	Yes	231.22
SeniorLaghetto	Yes	209.99
citcap	Yes	60
0xA8CA1cf8c4122B56A9c7bbbacC5522dD1c7d7d8f-1762995007812	Yes	50
cripes3	Yes	49.08
just-bettor	Yes	46.63
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	37.02
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	27.24
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	26
MaxEnt	Yes	20.34
Anjun	Yes	19
LornaPredicts	Yes	17.85
freedom69	Yes	10
bzigor01	Yes	1.18
alexgg1	No	309.7
ChasingPaper	No	194.31
Tsubasa	No	90
0x695a0fD98A9F0Eb90B2959E8fC4e59686e556Ee6-1775566314720	No	75
GuyFromTinder	No	50
0x6fdb…6b9d	No	30

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
18:21:48	BUY	No	0.79	32	$25.11
14:13:16	BUY	Yes	0.24	120	$28.80
06:06:24	BUY	Yes	0.24	30	$7.20
06:06:24	BUY	Yes	0.1833333333	90	$16.50
22:04:57	SELL	No	0.78	30	$23.40
16:01:37	BUY	Yes	0.19	20	$3.80
13:37:21	BUY	Yes	0.1705594394	32	$5.42
22:48:25	BUY	Yes	0.24	30	$7.20
17:03:15	BUY	No	0.77	60	$46.20
22:31:25	BUY	Yes	0.23	30	$6.90
16:48:28	BUY	No	0.78	5	$3.90
01:53:23	BUY	No	0.79	30	$23.70
16:35:22	BUY	Yes	0.23	16	$3.68
16:32:14	BUY	Yes	0.23	5	$1.15
15:38:37	BUY	Yes	0.17	35	$5.95
15:38:37	BUY	Yes	0.15	86	$12.90
17:59:47	BUY	No	0.79	30	$23.70
14:41:53	BUY	No	0.78	30	$23.40
11:08:00	SELL	No	0.76	30	$22.80
11:02:38	BUY	Yes	0.21	30	$6.30
11:02:36	BUY	Yes	0.18	90	$16.20
00:44:21	BUY	No	0.77	60	$46.20
10:06:08	BUY	No	0.79	21	$16.59
06:00:54	SELL	No	0.76	30	$22.80
06:00:24	BUY	Yes	0.2	9	$1.80