PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xA8CA1cf8c4122B56A9c7bbbacC5522dD1c7d7d8f-1762995007812

0xa8ca1cf8c4122b56a9c7bbbacc5522dd1c7d7d8f

Realised P&L
$-505.97
Volume
$78.6k
Markets traded
107
Open portfolio
$228.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded107
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? · No0.8300.695$139.00−$27.00
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? · No0.8500.830$78.11−$1.88
Arc FDV above $5B one day after launch? · Yes0.7580.190$9.50−$28.40
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes0.6650.015$2.33−$97.42
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 August 24-30? · No0.5100.000$0.00−$102.00
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 August 17-23? · No0.9710.000$0.00−$235.60
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on June 2? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00−$21.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 16:34Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.6081979078$107.56
10-27 03:42Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?SELL0.999$149.74
10-27 03:42Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?SELL0.999$149.85
10-20 01:04Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?SELL0.027$5.40
10-17 01:06Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?SELL0.02$4.00
10-01 23:24Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?SELL0.43$43.00
09-29 01:16Will Ethereum reach $3,400 September 28-October 4?BUY0.999$99.90
09-06 01:03Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 August 31-September 6?SELL0.001$0.85
08-31 01:57Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 August 24-30?BUY0.998$99.80
08-20 00:05Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 17-23?BUY0.956$1.2k
06-24 01:26Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 23?SELL0.999$169.83
05-31 01:48Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 May 25-31?BUY0.997$136.59
05-31 01:43Will Ethereum reach $2,200 May 25-31?BUY0.986$98.60
05-19 01:48Arc FDV above $5B one day after launch?BUY0.758$37.90
05-03 02:12Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 April 27-May 3?SELL0.998$159.68