PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Tsubasa

0xcfde61eb95f05b384c96a021028c90c1d26f4006

Realised P&L
$337.17
Volume
$245.4k
Markets traded
883
Open portfolio
$2.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded883
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Discord IPO before 2027? · No0.5070.895$1.2k+$506.43
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? · $1400.2440.586$187.54+$109.28
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9350.958$120.64+$2.87
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3730.680$110.71+$49.99
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? · No0.8890.944$98.15+$5.76
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? · No0.8360.880$88.00+$4.40
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1480.185$74.00+$14.90
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September? · No0.9020.965$73.30+$4.72
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.8240.835$58.45+$0.75
Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No0.5890.705$56.40+$9.30
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes0.3790.365$51.10$1.90
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? · No0.7870.850$51.00+$3.80
Arc FDV above $5B one day after launch? · No0.8700.795$47.70$4.50
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.6730.730$45.99+$3.59
Unit FDV above $600M one day after launch? · No0.6130.875$40.34+$12.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-07 22:37US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner TienBUY0.45$6.75
09-07 22:24US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner TienBUY0.67$13.40
08-07 01:47Ethereum Up or Down - August 6, 9PM ETBUY0.31$3.10
07-14 20:10Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.199$135.96
07-14 18:50Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.372$169.26
07-09 22:22Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.34$34.00
07-09 21:01Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.02840704$14.20
07-07 20:38Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?SELL0.59$17.70
07-06 21:31Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.183$73.20
07-06 21:18Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.181$23.53
07-06 20:55Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.9$90.00
07-05 19:55Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceBUY0.29$9.84
07-05 19:54Norway to score first vs. Brazil?BUY0.35$10.50
07-05 19:52Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?SELL0.84$19.32
06-28 18:17Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.942$75.36