Tsubasa
0xcfde61eb95f05b384c96a021028c90c1d26f4006
- Realised P&L
- $337.17
- Volume
- $245.4k
- Markets traded
- 883
- Open portfolio
- $2.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded883
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$735.00at 0.477Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?
- +$731.97at 0.530Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?
- +$646.54at 0.181Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$405.10at 0.313Will BNB dip to $800 in November?
- +$378.81at 0.496Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 22:37 | US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien | BUY | 0.45 | $6.75 |
| 09-07 22:24 | US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien | BUY | 0.67 | $13.40 |
| 08-07 01:47 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 6, 9PM ET | BUY | 0.31 | $3.10 |
| 07-14 20:10 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.199 | $135.96 |
| 07-14 18:50 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.372 | $169.26 |
| 07-09 22:22 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.34 | $34.00 |
| 07-09 21:01 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.02840704 | $14.20 |
| 07-07 20:38 | Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.59 | $17.70 |
| 07-06 21:31 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.183 | $73.20 |
| 07-06 21:18 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.181 | $23.53 |
| 07-06 20:55 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.9 | $90.00 |
| 07-05 19:55 | Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.29 | $9.84 |
| 07-05 19:54 | Norway to score first vs. Brazil? | BUY | 0.35 | $10.50 |
| 07-05 19:52 | Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $19.32 |
| 06-28 18:17 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.942 | $75.36 |