0x6fdb1f7a8df076d11b4fe136991f6b2c63606b9d
0x6fdb1f7a8df076d11b4fe136991f6b2c63606b9d
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $46.1k
- Markets traded
- 802
- Open portfolio
- $924.55
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded802
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.96at 0.240Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?
- +$28.59at 0.216Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?
- +$28.09at 0.330Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?
- +$27.00at 0.230Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?
- +$22.97at 0.413Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:48 | Will the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster explode? | SELL | 0.39 | $15.60 |
| 11-01 18:32 | Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.155 | $6.20 |
| 11-01 18:17 | Will Netherlands host the 2027 UEFA Nations League Finals? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.16 |
| 11-01 17:26 | Will Tee Higgins have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.04 |
| 11-01 17:01 | Will Cashmere launch a token by March 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.4 | $12.00 |
| 11-01 16:45 | Will valyn play for Team Envy in 2027? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.00 |
| 11-01 16:40 | Will "Elsinore" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.71 | $3.54 |
| 11-01 16:40 | Will valyn play for Team Envy in 2027? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.04 |
| 11-01 16:34 | Will valyn play for Team Envy in 2027? | SELL | 0.0104394619 | $0.19 |
| 11-01 15:01 | Unit FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.82 | $3.67 |
| 11-01 15:01 | Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.32 | $19.20 |
| 11-01 14:15 | Will Jordan Smith Jr. be the first pick in the 2027 NBA Draft? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.12 |
| 11-01 14:10 | Netanyahu out before the next Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting? | SELL | 0.78 | $0.98 |
| 11-01 14:00 | Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? | SELL | 0.66 | $3.29 |
| 11-01 13:55 | Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.7225 | $28.90 |