PolyBot

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5kt meteor strike in 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2027-03-01
Resolves by
https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/fireballs/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.10. down 0.06 over the period, from 0.16. Range 0.10 to 0.17. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.125050
0.142979
0.15104183
0.1612195
0.2031227
0.21100327
0.2720347
0.2864411
0.485416
0.4920436
0.51100536
0.5740576

Spread0.05Mid0.10

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.077272
0.06601673
0.056901,363
0.045001,863
0.031,9173,780
0.022,6636,443
0.018,13114,574

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.937272
0.94601673
0.956901,363
0.965001,863
0.971,9173,780
0.982,6636,443
0.998,13114,574

Spread0.05Mid0.91

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.885050
0.862979
0.85104183
0.8412195
0.8031227
0.79100327
0.7320347
0.7264411
0.525416
0.5120436
0.49100536
0.4340576

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
LeopoldArschenbrennerYes5,727.92
atomicannieYes861.17
PoopyfaceYes855.01
zk1984Yes799.98
j4un3Yes798.65
RecursiveDragonYes659.39
PassiveStrikeYes617.95
generalVRYes602.56
MysteriousCarpYes434.78
TimeTravelerYes300
FniiiYes263.05
YombaYes256.13
xtxpleasecallmeYes247.39
renshegYes240
0x94BF886A4a73D74BCF45f51F975b4F2E91cc3785-1761163632693Yes199.99
DEGENKHANYes155.54
mecepYes142.06
eightuYes130
celebreteYes126.99
urawYes123.95

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
19:14:24SELLNo0.8735$30.21
18:10:09BUYNo0.9081934834110$100.00
18:26:36SELLYes0.1120$2.20
07:19:46SELLYes0.1250$6.00
09:03:26SELLYes0.149$1.27
16:02:39SELLYes0.14650$7.30
13:28:54SELLNo0.8750005001100$87.49
08:30:20SELLNo0.871$0.89
08:30:11SELLYes0.071$0.07
01:20:56SELLYes0.0624430229622$38.85
01:20:41SELLYes0.0850$4.00
01:20:33BUYYes0.137$3.71
00:26:56BUYNo0.909999999133$30.00
13:42:35SELLNo0.8232314802145$119.35
01:29:56SELLNo0.834$3.55
01:25:45SELLYes0.065237306818$1.18
17:21:08BUYNo0.91999987733$3.00
17:50:18SELLNo0.7713$9.83
16:43:39BUYYes0.1613$2.00
23:16:05SELLYes0.0759306569548$41.61
09:52:50SELLNo0.757$5.00
15:23:07SELLNo0.827$5.74
09:30:28BUYYes0.1615$2.44
08:25:59SELLYes0.144444444490$13.00
18:39:33SELLNo0.7516$12.10