j4un3
0x9fa2ff4630b621a77f389a3d82809eff3a850ea8
- Realised P&L
- $-15.8k
- Volume
- $722.5k
- Markets traded
- 3,819
- Open portfolio
- $911.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,819
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration47.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.550Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?
- +$1.3kat 0.916Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?
- +$1.2kat 0.558Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
- +$693.63at 0.696Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
- +$617.51at 0.674Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 03:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 03:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET | SELL | 0.69 | $4.75 |
| 09-17 03:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 03:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | BUY | 0.2399999923 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 03:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 03:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 10:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 10:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 08:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET | BUY | 0.2299999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-08 07:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | SELL | 0.94 | $36.15 |
| 09-08 07:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | BUY | 0.2599999964 | $10.00 |
| 08-28 05:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 08-28 03:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $2.00 |
| 08-28 03:35 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.66 | $100.32 |
| 08-21 07:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | BUY | 0.0242498683 | $10.00 |