j4un3
0x9fa2ff4630b621a77f389a3d82809eff3a850ea8
- Realised P&L
- $-16.3k
- Volume
- $728.4k
- Markets traded
- 3,860
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,860
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration40.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.550Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?
- +$1.3kat 0.916Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?
- +$575.35at 0.582Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
- +$416.92at 0.716Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?
- +$389.24at 0.134Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 11:21 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.02 | $58.56 |
| 10-19 10:09 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.529 | $211.60 |
| 10-03 09:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET | BUY | 0.1199999976 | $2.00 |
| 10-03 09:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 10-03 09:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $2.00 |
| 10-03 09:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET | BUY | 0.419999979 | $2.00 |
| 10-03 09:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $2.00 |
| 10-03 09:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $20.00 |
| 10-03 09:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 10-02 07:53 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.555 | $277.49 |
| 09-30 05:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 05:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 05:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 04:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET | SELL | 0.98 | $31.12 |
| 09-30 04:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |