PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Poopyface

0x4f6c09f6ab1a9f59935c29ca9fb380319bf76909

Realised P&L
$5.0k
Volume
$56.5k
Markets traded
71
Open portfolio
$3.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar8.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded71
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration70.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8090.966$1.0k+$164.60
Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · No0.9030.925$980.51+$23.67
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? · No0.8220.725$703.98−$94.14
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.7960.695$329.03−$47.97
Viktor Orbán arrested by...? · No0.8000.876$105.12+$9.12
5kt meteor strike in 2026? · Yes0.4380.095$81.23−$293.68
Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026? · No0.7460.000$0.00−$1.7k
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.4660.000$0.00−$340.67
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00−$52.00
Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31? · Yes0.8380.000$0.00−$100.60
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.6690.000$0.00−$950.24
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00−$2.97
Will Nikola Jokić win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$2.99
Will Luka Dončić win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$3.40
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet? · No0.6810.000$0.00−$177.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 21:28Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026?BUY0.91$26.39
09-20 21:27Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?BUY0.709054878$87.21
09-20 21:18Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?BUY0.6993846154$45.46
09-20 21:14Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?BUY0.86$86.00
09-20 21:12Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?BUY0.704$35.20
09-20 21:12Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?BUY0.703$70.30
09-20 21:11Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026?BUY0.91$182.00
09-20 21:10Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?BUY0.6912682927$56.68
09-20 21:09Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?BUY0.674$16.85
09-20 20:59Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026?BUY0.91$29.12
09-20 20:54Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?BUY0.67$99.83
09-20 20:52Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?BUY0.86$86.00
09-20 20:51Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026?BUY0.91$91.00
09-20 20:48Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?BUY0.6669575071$28.25
09-20 20:46Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026?BUY0.91$91.00