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Traders

0x94BF886A4a73D74BCF45f51F975b4F2E91cc3785-1761163632693

0x94bf886a4a73d74bcf45f51f975b4f2e91cc3785

Realised P&L
$367.97
Volume
$17.3k
Markets traded
58
Open portfolio
$3.1k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded58
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample34 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? · No0.9110.957$717.32+$33.70
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · No0.9190.971$435.04+$23.04
100kt meteor strike in 2026? · No0.9300.971$300.17+$12.50
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9420.958$287.25+$4.62
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? · No0.9400.987$276.13+$13.02
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.9130.991$198.10+$15.50
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? · No0.9220.989$197.79+$13.32
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8400.945$189.00+$21.00
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? · No0.8720.975$158.60+$16.62
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · No0.8080.959$107.34+$16.84
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.9450.953$95.24+$0.75
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.7900.840$83.95+$4.95
5kt meteor strike in 2026? · Yes0.3090.270$54.00$7.77
Anduril IPO before 2027? · No0.9100.955$13.01+$0.61
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? · Yes0.1200.063$3.53$3.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-04 15:455kt meteor strike in 2026?SELL0.2235447761$59.91
09-04 15:439.0 or above earthquake before 2027?BUY0.9389999989$139.00
08-20 19:26OpenAI IPO before 2027?BUY0.8066122266$50.00
08-20 19:24Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.31$62.00
08-20 19:24Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.06$9.00
08-01 21:05Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.47$94.00
07-30 14:49No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.986$98.60
07-29 13:57Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?BUY0.12$6.77
07-29 13:57Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.913$182.60
07-29 13:35Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.945$77.49
07-13 21:07Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.941$205.14
07-13 20:36Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?BUY0.047$1.03
07-13 20:33Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?BUY0.21$2.10
07-13 20:00Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.59$236.00
07-13 18:21OpenAI IPO before 2027?BUY0.81$40.50
Trader 0x94BF886A4a73D74BCF45f51F975b4F2E91cc3785-1761163632693 · PolyBot Pro