0x94BF886A4a73D74BCF45f51F975b4F2E91cc3785-1761163632693
0x94bf886a4a73d74bcf45f51f975b4f2e91cc3785
- Realised P&L
- $367.97
- Volume
- $17.3k
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
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- +$99.56at 0.994Milei out as President of Argentina in 2025?
- +$59.29at 0.850Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
- +$54.97at 0.830Polymarket surpasses Robinhood on Similar Web in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 15:45 | 5kt meteor strike in 2026? | SELL | 0.2235447761 | $59.91 |
| 09-04 15:43 | 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | BUY | 0.9389999989 | $139.00 |
| 08-20 19:26 | OpenAI IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.8066122266 | $50.00 |
| 08-20 19:24 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.31 | $62.00 |
| 08-20 19:24 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.06 | $9.00 |
| 08-01 21:05 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.47 | $94.00 |
| 07-30 14:49 | No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.986 | $98.60 |
| 07-29 13:57 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BUY | 0.12 | $6.77 |
| 07-29 13:57 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.913 | $182.60 |
| 07-29 13:35 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.945 | $77.49 |
| 07-13 21:07 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.941 | $205.14 |
| 07-13 20:36 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.047 | $1.03 |
| 07-13 20:33 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $2.10 |
| 07-13 20:00 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.59 | $236.00 |
| 07-13 18:21 | OpenAI IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.81 | $40.50 |