PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Yomba

0xd3fb3aa016afa69fe6cb1e1fd52d3979fad657e5

Realised P&L
$13.8k
Volume
$1.42M
Markets traded
803
Open portfolio
$11.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded803
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.5000.841$4.2k+$1.7k
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? · Yes0.9000.966$1.7k+$114.68
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? · No0.9200.976$975.16+$55.48
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? · Yes0.9590.998$966.04+$37.47
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.5000.160$797.50$1.7k
New pandemic in 2026? · No0.8800.945$661.50+$45.50
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.9200.945$472.50+$12.50
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0090.005$399.88$328.21
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.5590.973$340.38+$144.78
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · No0.9450.987$295.95+$12.35
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.5530.405$162.00$59.18
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? · Anthropic0.7400.875$109.03+$16.82
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? · No0.8500.987$98.70+$13.70
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? · No0.6000.875$80.75+$25.38
5kt meteor strike in 2026? · Yes0.5330.270$69.16$67.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-12 20:03Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?SELL0.71$394.05
07-09 17:36Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?BUY0.83$12.45
07-08 00:07Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?BUY0.92$460.00
07-04 23:11Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.024$24.00
07-03 22:38Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.95$47.50
07-02 21:49Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $3.00 on July 31, 2026?BUY0.98$81.44
07-02 01:35Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?BUY0.9609775921$300.20
07-01 02:26Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to AdvanceBUY0.82$16.40
07-01 02:23Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to AdvanceBUY0.83$16.60
07-01 02:23Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?BUY0.68$13.60
07-01 02:10Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?BUY0.47$9.40
06-30 20:565kt meteor strike in 2026?SELL0.34$70.27
06-23 20:19Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by June 30?BUY0.4455359616$131.88
06-23 20:19Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by June 30?BUY0.42$69.27
06-23 20:11Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?SELL0.92$159.16