generalVR
0x2d613c30614b68eada0a37d65bddf3778d981fa7
- Realised P&L
- $43.9k
- Volume
- $13.59M
- Markets traded
- 970
- Open portfolio
- $21.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded970
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.2kat 0.919Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$5.0kat 0.769Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
- +$5.0kat 0.080Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
- +$4.8kat 0.644Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$4.6kat 0.494Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 21:05 | Will no one dissent the September Fed decision? | BUY | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 09-13 20:59 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.2482053885 | $176.05 |
| 09-12 23:09 | Noche UFC: Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.98 | $1.8k |
| 09-12 23:08 | Noche UFC: Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.9648005667 | $2.9k |
| 09-12 23:04 | Noche UFC: Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.51 | $51.00 |
| 09-12 22:49 | Fight to Go the Distance? | BUY | 0.7 | $70.00 |
| 09-12 22:47 | Fight to Go the Distance? | BUY | 0.7 | $140.00 |
| 09-12 22:46 | Noche UFC: Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.4 | $80.00 |
| 09-12 22:35 | Noche UFC: Alexa Grasso vs. Manon Fiorot (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.97 | $1.6k |
| 09-12 22:24 | Noche UFC: Alexa Grasso vs. Manon Fiorot (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.32 | $3.20 |
| 09-12 22:23 | Noche UFC: Alexa Grasso vs. Manon Fiorot (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.279 | $27.90 |
| 09-12 21:57 | Noche UFC: Curtis Blaydes vs. Waldo Cortes Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.53 | $39.75 |
| 09-12 21:55 | Noche UFC: Curtis Blaydes vs. Waldo Cortes Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.503586 | $50.36 |
| 09-12 21:48 | Will Waldo Cortes Acosta win by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.36 | $72.00 |
| 09-12 21:46 | Will Waldo Cortes Acosta win by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.36 | $3.88 |