PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Resolves by
https://agi.safe.ai/
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.070. up 0.002 over the period, from 0.068. Range 0.059 to 0.099. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.08977
0.09099106
0.09582189
0.09780269
0.10184353
0.10820373
0.5155378
0.51617394
0.55820414
0.56030444
0.56216460
0.63450510

Spread0.039Mid0.070

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0504343
0.0492164
0.0482185
0.04640125
0.031254379
0.0301,0371,416
0.019131,429
0.0181941,623
0.016971,720
0.008221,741
0.0072862,027
0.006112,038

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9504343
0.9512164
0.9522185
0.95440125
0.969254379
0.9701,0371,416
0.981131,429
0.9821941,623
0.984971,720
0.992221,741
0.9932862,027
0.994112,038

Spread0.039Mid0.930

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.91177
0.91099106
0.90582189
0.90380269
0.89984353
0.89220373
0.4855378
0.48417394
0.44220414
0.44030444
0.43816460
0.36650510

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
dilatingradioYes108.7
planktonXDYes85
Computerdude111Yes50.14
pootytherewardfarmerYes50
LornaPredictsYes46
MetrixNeoYes22.99
AJSVYes22.38
GuyFromTinderYes22.15
Mojito9Yes20.7
monoclithYes20
a5533Yes20
AMAM13Yes12.3
79fsdfsYes4
OlcanNo444.34
PPMTNo22.99
mtm6No17.57

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
06:49:42BUYNo0.909347403258$52.35
11:45:48BUYYes0.08699999923$2.00
18:56:28SELLYes0.05220$1.04
02:48:15SELLNo0.92730$27.81
18:50:46BUYYes0.0919999993109$10.00
03:31:37SELLYes0.06320$1.26
03:31:34SELLYes0.07250$3.60
21:50:28SELLYes0.06822$1.50
01:02:51SELLNo0.92320$18.46
01:02:40BUYYes0.05782$4.67
03:18:10SELLYes0.05422$1.19
01:52:10SELLYes0.05122$1.12
17:53:09BUYNo0.8557849885387$330.99
12:27:10SELLNo0.88120$17.62
12:27:06SELLNo0.88129$25.94
12:18:33SELLNo0.9424744464189$178.33
08:36:31BUYNo0.8421$17.64
05:53:19SELLYes0.042$0.07
15:02:40SELLYes0.11120$2.22
15:00:18SELLYes0.09120$1.82
15:00:13SELLYes0.09231$2.84
14:57:36BUYYes0.079111$8.77
22:09:01SELLYes0.0389720$0.78
12:22:06SELLNo0.95320$19.06
10:23:42SELLNo0.9620$19.20