Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?
- Tick
- 0.01
- Min order
- 5
- Fees
- 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
- Ends
- 2026-12-31
- Rewards
- 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread
Price history
Order book
Not connected
Yes
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.09 | 128 | 128 |
| 0.11 | 100 | 228 |
| 0.61 | 1,500 | 1,728 |
| 0.62 | 324 | 2,052 |
| 0.70 | 23 | 2,075 |
| 0.74 | 5 | 2,080 |
| 0.84 | 6 | 2,086 |
| 0.89 | 9 | 2,095 |
| 0.92 | 8 | 2,104 |
| 0.93 | 14 | 2,118 |
| 0.95 | 10 | 2,128 |
| 0.96 | 525 | 2,653 |
Spread0.03Mid0.07
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.06 | 10 | 10 |
| 0.05 | 34 | 44 |
| 0.04 | 112 | 156 |
| 0.03 | 13 | 169 |
| 0.02 | 286 | 455 |
| 0.01 | 950 | 1,405 |
No
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.94 | 10 | 10 |
| 0.95 | 34 | 44 |
| 0.96 | 112 | 156 |
| 0.97 | 13 | 169 |
| 0.98 | 286 | 455 |
| 0.99 | 950 | 1,405 |
Spread0.03Mid0.93
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.91 | 128 | 128 |
| 0.89 | 100 | 228 |
| 0.39 | 1,500 | 1,728 |
| 0.38 | 324 | 2,052 |
| 0.30 | 23 | 2,075 |
| 0.26 | 5 | 2,080 |
| 0.16 | 6 | 2,086 |
| 0.11 | 9 | 2,095 |
| 0.08 | 8 | 2,104 |
| 0.07 | 14 | 2,118 |
| 0.05 | 10 | 2,128 |
| 0.04 | 525 | 2,653 |
Top holders
| Holder | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AMAM13 | Yes | 41.99 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 24.38 |
| monoclith | Yes | 20 |
| winexecutescale | Yes | 18 |
| AJSV | Yes | 17.09 |
| Slackjaw | Yes | 16.01 |
| billygod | Yes | 2.5 |
| Mithrandir. | No | 100 |
| Olcan | No | 35 |
| divinets | No | 5.31 |
Recent trades
| Time | Side | Outcome | Price | Size | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:53:53 | SELL | Yes | 0.11 | 16 | $1.76 |
| 13:15:42 | SELL | No | 0.9 | 100 | $90.00 |
| 10:43:22 | SELL | No | 0.91 | 10 | $8.82 |
| 08:41:00 | SELL | Yes | 0.08 | 16 | $1.28 |
| 08:39:37 | SELL | Yes | 0.09 | 50 | $4.50 |
| 07:16:46 | SELL | Yes | 0.09 | 177 | $15.92 |
| 06:46:28 | BUY | No | 0.89 | 5 | $4.45 |
| 06:42:42 | BUY | No | 0.9 | 21 | $18.89 |
| 06:42:40 | SELL | Yes | 0.1 | 121 | $12.10 |
| 06:39:31 | BUY | No | 0.88 | 10 | $8.80 |
| 06:39:03 | SELL | Yes | 0.13 | 10 | $1.26 |
| 06:38:31 | SELL | Yes | 0.1132258065 | 31 | $3.51 |
| 06:37:18 | BUY | No | 0.84 | 21 | $17.64 |
| 06:35:42 | BUY | No | 0.8457142857 | 35 | $29.60 |
| 06:08:39 | BUY | No | 0.75 | 5 | $3.75 |
| 06:08:07 | BUY | Yes | 0.11 | 253 | $27.82 |
| 02:12:39 | SELL | Yes | 0.11 | 100 | $11.00 |
| 02:12:39 | BUY | Yes | 0.1099999485 | 17 | $1.88 |
| 01:23:28 | BUY | Yes | 0.1170588235 | 170 | $19.90 |
| 01:04:07 | BUY | No | 0.88 | 18 | $15.84 |
| 01:03:27 | BUY | No | 0.8334415478 | 61 | $50.83 |