Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Resolves by: https://agi.safe.ai/
Rewards: 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.17. up 0.11 over the period, from 0.07. Range 0.07 to 0.20. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.20	78	78
0.21	2	80
0.55	20	100
0.56	5	105
0.58	50	155
0.59	489	644
0.81	40	684
0.84	6	690
0.89	9	699
0.91	138	837
0.92	220	1,057
0.93	14	1,071

Spread0.05Mid0.17

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.15	33	33
0.14	164	197
0.13	466	664
0.10	171	835
0.09	40	875
0.08	5	880
0.07	720	1,600
0.06	1,744	3,344
0.05	90	3,434
0.03	18	3,452
0.02	10	3,462
0.01	64	3,526

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.85	33	33
0.86	164	197
0.87	466	664
0.90	171	835
0.91	40	875
0.92	5	880
0.93	720	1,600
0.94	1,744	3,344
0.95	90	3,434
0.97	18	3,452
0.98	10	3,462
0.99	64	3,526

Spread0.05Mid0.82

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.80	78	78
0.79	2	80
0.45	20	100
0.44	5	105
0.42	50	155
0.41	489	644
0.19	40	684
0.16	6	690
0.11	9	699
0.09	138	837
0.08	220	1,057
0.07	14	1,071

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
tradetosurvive1	Yes	435.14
Lashibucapiguyonghand	Yes	340
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	310.63
shoobadooba18	Yes	220
AlwaysTimed	Yes	200
Fihdrzgdd	Yes	125
molodoyy	Yes	107.35
asd56	Yes	50
HerrieDavis	Yes	47.41
oilstud	Yes	41
pppnn	Yes	40
pmlptest	Yes	40
Slowbucks	Yes	40
0xFf12c076486622f6492023399a4E84d46dFbcDC4-1771515289272	Yes	30.56
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.	Yes	20
0x1828…5bcc	Yes	18
LornaPredicts	Yes	12.73
crossFiter	Yes	12.5
GuyFromTinder	Yes	8.5
jal13	Yes	6.67

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
23:22:28	SELL	Yes	0.16	20	$3.20
23:22:19	BUY	No	0.8	60	$48.00
01:45:34	BUY	Yes	0.16	40	$6.40
23:22:16	BUY	No	0.81	60	$48.60
22:34:43	BUY	Yes	0.19	40	$7.60
01:41:23	BUY	Yes	0.15	47	$6.97
22:10:41	SELL	Yes	0.15	46	$6.97
20:16:02	BUY	Yes	0.19	20	$3.80
13:21:17	SELL	Yes	0.1823529412	85	$15.50
21:52:00	SELL	Yes	0.2	1	$0.20
21:12:15	BUY	Yes	0.19	21	$3.99
21:12:15	BUY	Yes	0.21	21	$4.41
21:12:14	SELL	No	0.82	85	$69.70
23:17:54	BUY	Yes	0.17	20	$3.40
23:17:53	SELL	No	0.83	20	$16.60
13:48:06	BUY	Yes	0.16	19	$3.04
13:17:47	SELL	No	0.88	20	$17.60
13:17:45	SELL	No	0.9164990898	428	$392.68
13:17:45	BUY	Yes	0.11	1	$0.11
13:17:45	BUY	Yes	0.11	20	$2.20
05:49:41	SELL	Yes	0.1	4	$0.41
02:16:11	BUY	Yes	0.12	16	$1.92
23:23:26	SELL	Yes	0.1	5	$0.50
12:52:06	SELL	No	0.79	0	$0.37
12:07:09	SELL	Yes	0.16	20	$3.20