Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
- Tick
- 0.01
- Min order
- 5
- Fees
- 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
- Ends
- 2027-01-01
- Resolves by
- https://agi.safe.ai/
- Rewards
- 40 min size · 4.5¢ max spread
Price history
Order book
Not connected
Yes
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.31 | 151 | 151 |
| 0.32 | 40 | 191 |
| 0.33 | 40 | 231 |
| 0.38 | 13 | 244 |
| 0.40 | 12 | 256 |
| 0.41 | 301 | 557 |
| 0.48 | 26 | 583 |
| 0.71 | 50 | 633 |
| 0.72 | 240 | 873 |
| 0.84 | 6 | 879 |
| 0.89 | 9 | 888 |
| 0.93 | 14 | 903 |
Spread0.05Mid0.29
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.26 | 169 | 169 |
| 0.25 | 680 | 849 |
| 0.24 | 530 | 1,379 |
| 0.23 | 50 | 1,429 |
| 0.21 | 33 | 1,462 |
| 0.20 | 40 | 1,502 |
| 0.19 | 500 | 2,002 |
| 0.15 | 20 | 2,022 |
| 0.14 | 40 | 2,062 |
| 0.11 | 500 | 2,562 |
| 0.10 | 41 | 2,603 |
| 0.05 | 186 | 2,789 |
No
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.74 | 169 | 169 |
| 0.75 | 680 | 849 |
| 0.76 | 530 | 1,379 |
| 0.77 | 50 | 1,429 |
| 0.79 | 33 | 1,462 |
| 0.80 | 40 | 1,502 |
| 0.81 | 500 | 2,002 |
| 0.85 | 20 | 2,022 |
| 0.86 | 40 | 2,062 |
| 0.89 | 500 | 2,562 |
| 0.90 | 41 | 2,603 |
| 0.95 | 186 | 2,789 |
Spread0.05Mid0.71
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.69 | 151 | 151 |
| 0.68 | 40 | 191 |
| 0.67 | 40 | 231 |
| 0.62 | 13 | 244 |
| 0.60 | 12 | 256 |
| 0.59 | 301 | 557 |
| 0.52 | 26 | 583 |
| 0.29 | 50 | 633 |
| 0.28 | 240 | 873 |
| 0.16 | 6 | 879 |
| 0.11 | 9 | 888 |
| 0.07 | 14 | 903 |
Top holders
| Holder | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 435.14 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 340.42 |
| shoobadooba18 | Yes | 220 |
| Computerdude111 | Yes | 160.28 |
| rocky42004 | Yes | 156 |
| BAO95889 | Yes | 145.42 |
| HerrieDavis | Yes | 94.41 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 86.73 |
| pppnn | Yes | 80 |
| AJSV | Yes | 64.97 |
| gfdgfvfvssdd | Yes | 60 |
| PPMT | Yes | 59.96 |
| oilstud | Yes | 41 |
| bechamel | Yes | 40 |
| pmlptest | Yes | 40 |
| Fihdrzgdd | Yes | 40 |
| 0xFf12c076486622f6492023399a4E84d46dFbcDC4-1771515289272 | Yes | 30.56 |
| gonnakilmyslf | Yes | 26 |
| WarriorH | Yes | 15.2 |
| Olcan | Yes | 8.55 |
Recent trades
| Time | Side | Outcome | Price | Size | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22:09:06 | SELL | Yes | 0.27 | 32 | $8.66 |
| 22:09:04 | SELL | Yes | 0.28 | 30 | $8.34 |
| 21:09:01 | SELL | Yes | 0.324714655 | 251 | $81.65 |
| 21:01:03 | SELL | Yes | 0.34 | 30 | $10.20 |
| 21:00:58 | SELL | Yes | 0.36 | 30 | $10.80 |
| 20:58:24 | BUY | Yes | 0.29625 | 320 | $94.80 |
| 18:46:09 | BUY | Yes | 0.28 | 40 | $11.20 |
| 17:14:04 | SELL | Yes | 0.3811051812 | 45 | $17.14 |
| 17:13:18 | SELL | Yes | 0.39 | 0 | $0.01 |
| 17:13:16 | SELL | Yes | 0.39 | 10 | $3.90 |
| 13:55:24 | BUY | No | 0.59 | 5 | $2.87 |
| 13:51:21 | SELL | Yes | 0.41 | 0 | $0.05 |
| 13:51:18 | SELL | Yes | 0.41 | 40 | $16.40 |
| 13:40:12 | BUY | No | 0.59 | 5 | $2.95 |
| 09:13:33 | SELL | Yes | 0.33 | 56 | $18.48 |
| 07:54:03 | SELL | Yes | 0.35 | 137 | $47.90 |
| 03:19:51 | SELL | Yes | 0.3 | 0 | $0.00 |
| 03:19:49 | SELL | Yes | 0.3 | 0 | $0.04 |
| 03:19:48 | BUY | Yes | 0.3077777778 | 45 | $13.85 |
| 03:14:49 | BUY | Yes | 0.32 | 43 | $13.76 |
| 02:51:25 | BUY | Yes | 0.31 | 40 | $12.40 |
| 02:44:58 | BUY | Yes | 0.32 | 40 | $12.80 |
| 02:44:39 | SELL | Yes | 0.27 | 0 | $0.01 |
| 02:44:36 | BUY | Yes | 0.29 | 5 | $1.45 |
| 02:43:42 | SELL | Yes | 0.38 | 0 | $0.15 |