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Will Z.ai be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-01
Resolves by
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.004. down 0.005 over the period, from 0.009. Range 0.004 to 0.009. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.00511
0.00856
0.058100106
0.05925131
0.12620151
0.12939190
0.13018208
0.15575283
0.15650333
0.17550383
0.17610393
0.189123516

Spread0.003Mid0.004

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0023,2493,249
0.0014,4717,720

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9983,2493,249
0.9994,4717,720

Spread0.003Mid0.996

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.99511
0.99256
0.942100106
0.94125131
0.87420151
0.87139190
0.87018208
0.84575283
0.84450333
0.82550383
0.82410393
0.811123516

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
x1099Yes763.26
caspar1248Yes700
Hot-SkullYes600
Z91EXYes465
taerv534Yes394.36
LornaPredictsYes299.48
0x652bFf901f401Fdhsk342kdjfnfk029abks13Yes133.62
74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7.Yes100
tradetosurvive1Yes63.06
AJSVYes53.34
VonVonaghYes39.4
GingerMcKennaYes35.21
PPMTYes30
0x9161…fb65Yes29.1
0x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-1778811817579Yes26.38
OlkaYes25
Mojito9Yes20.6
a5533Yes20
donthackmeYes15.48
crn1Yes13.13

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
08:20:13BUYYes0.005265$1.32
08:19:45BUYYes0.005200$1.00
05:07:19SELLYes0.0030$0.00
05:03:40SELLYes0.0030$0.00
05:03:06SELLYes0.0030$0.00
03:09:18BUYNo0.9979$9.22
03:09:16BUYNo0.99733$32.65
03:09:09BUYNo0.99789$88.23
02:46:24BUYNo0.99715$15.00
02:37:48BUYNo0.99762$62.00
01:58:09BUYNo0.99730$30.00
00:00:45BUYNo0.9975$4.99
23:55:40BUYNo0.99720$19.92
23:55:33BUYNo0.99710$9.97
23:50:33BUYNo0.996520$19.93
01:59:31SELLYes0.0035$0.01
06:08:37BUYNo0.996999987851$51.00
13:57:30BUYNo0.99620$19.92
00:05:36BUYNo0.9968$8.10
16:54:40BUYNo0.99713$12.76
16:54:40BUYNo0.99710$9.97
16:54:40BUYNo0.99732$31.90
07:34:09BUYNo0.99710$9.97
07:34:09BUYNo0.99740$39.88
22:27:33BUYNo0.99733$32.65