PolyBot

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Traders

crn1

0x41b749069ce017a0a3cea9cf81000fb446c84ff3

Realised P&L
$283.53
Volume
$49.6k
Markets traded
2,002
Open portfolio
$140.73

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,002
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration11.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bernie endorse Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET? · No0.9800.986$9.86+$0.06
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.9720.985$9.85+$0.13
Will Bernard Arnault be 2nd richest person on December 31? · No0.9660.982$9.82+$0.16
Will Billie Eilish be the third most streamed artist for 2026? · No0.9890.970$9.70−$0.19
Will James Cook III be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season? · No0.9420.969$9.50+$0.26
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-06 House election by 15%-20%? · No0.9630.940$9.39−$0.23
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-06 House election by 40% or more? · No0.9470.938$9.38−$0.10
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 3,500,000 and 3,750,000? · No0.9890.648$6.49−$3.40
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-13 House election by 55%-60%? · No0.9890.970$4.85−$0.10
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%? · No0.9740.957$4.79−$0.09
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-33 House election by 20%-30%? · No0.9610.951$4.75−$0.05
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 3,500,000 and 3,750,000? · Yes0.0090.352$3.52+$3.43
Will Carson Carels win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy? · Yes0.0100.130$2.60+$2.40
Will Jensen Huang be 2nd richest person on December 31? · Yes0.0090.251$2.50+$2.41
Will Steve Ballmer be 2nd richest person on December 31? · Yes0.0100.215$2.15+$2.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 09:15Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%?BUY0.974$4.87
11-01 06:09Will Billie Eilish be the third most streamed artist for 2026?BUY0.989$9.89
10-30 05:36Will Manuel Añorve Baños win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?BUY0.974$4.87
10-29 23:56Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?BUY0.987$9.87
10-29 09:28Will Plasma reach $1.60 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.984$9.84
10-27 14:24Will James Cook III be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season?BUY0.932$2.61
10-23 21:26Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-06 House election by 0%-10%?BUY0.979$9.79
10-23 10:59Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-01 House election by 3% or more?BUY0.976$4.88
10-23 02:31Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-13 House election by 80%-85%?BUY0.985$4.92
10-22 14:17Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day?BUY0.987$14.80
10-21 06:51Will Bradley Carnell win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year?BUY0.977$4.88
10-20 06:37Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 3.5 and 3.9% in 2026?BUY0.998$9.98
10-19 13:45Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,300,000 and 1,400,000?BUY0.95$9.50
10-19 07:17Will Jaxson Dart finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns?BUY0.996$9.96
10-18 03:04Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 1,200,000 and 1,275,000?BUY0.853$8.53