crn1
0x41b749069ce017a0a3cea9cf81000fb446c84ff3
- Realised P&L
- $283.53
- Volume
- $49.6k
- Markets traded
- 2,002
- Open portfolio
- $140.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,002
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$74.17at 0.002Will Japan win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$51.67at 0.005Will Cape Verde win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$41.59at 0.012Will Péter Bárándy be the next President of Hungary?
- +$36.98at 0.007Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$29.88at 0.002Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 09:15 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%? | BUY | 0.974 | $4.87 |
| 11-01 06:09 | Will Billie Eilish be the third most streamed artist for 2026? | BUY | 0.989 | $9.89 |
| 10-30 05:36 | Will Manuel Añorve Baños win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election? | BUY | 0.974 | $4.87 |
| 10-29 23:56 | Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.987 | $9.87 |
| 10-29 09:28 | Will Plasma reach $1.60 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.984 | $9.84 |
| 10-27 14:24 | Will James Cook III be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season? | BUY | 0.932 | $2.61 |
| 10-23 21:26 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-06 House election by 0%-10%? | BUY | 0.979 | $9.79 |
| 10-23 10:59 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-01 House election by 3% or more? | BUY | 0.976 | $4.88 |
| 10-23 02:31 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-13 House election by 80%-85%? | BUY | 0.985 | $4.92 |
| 10-22 14:17 | Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.987 | $14.80 |
| 10-21 06:51 | Will Bradley Carnell win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? | BUY | 0.977 | $4.88 |
| 10-20 06:37 | Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 3.5 and 3.9% in 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 10-19 13:45 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,300,000 and 1,400,000? | BUY | 0.95 | $9.50 |
| 10-19 07:17 | Will Jaxson Dart finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns? | BUY | 0.996 | $9.96 |
| 10-18 03:04 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 1,200,000 and 1,275,000? | BUY | 0.853 | $8.53 |