PolyBot

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Will xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.005. down 0.003 over the period, from 0.008. Range 0.004 to 0.008. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.009147147
0.01012159
0.01262220
0.013183403
0.024274677
0.02545722
0.02955777
0.03184861
0.0331751,036
0.034651,101
0.0351191,221
0.0371101,331

Spread0.007Mid0.005

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0021,8561,856
0.0012562,112

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9981,8561,856
0.9992562,112

Spread0.007Mid0.994

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.991147147
0.99012159
0.98862220
0.987183403
0.976274677
0.97545722
0.97155777
0.96984861
0.9671751,036
0.966651,101
0.9651191,221
0.9631101,331

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
PeterErikssonYes2,155.88
wavesintheskyYes1,363
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.Yes273.55
AJSVYes259.62
0x34a42279ADYes254.68
wing1234Yes182.87
LornaPredictsYes152.46
0x56a8…eea2Yes150
613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Yes150
cry.eth2Yes135.88
0xF8a766cd5449b3c83b333E6B2464987e9b022653-1770220225691Yes117.99
Biver52Yes112.24
BSS37Yes103.05
akunaiYes102.93
2kparabellumYes100
thursdaysYes97
jennylulu2016Yes94
AAA-BatteryYes82.35
prognozuYes61.84
donthackmeYes51.53

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
06:07:30BUYNo0.9981$1.45
06:07:27BUYNo0.9985$4.99
06:07:17BUYNo0.99810$9.98
06:07:17BUYNo0.9988$7.73
06:07:17BUYNo0.99824$24.02
06:07:17BUYNo0.99820$19.96
06:07:17BUYNo0.9987$6.99
21:21:08BUYNo0.99810$9.98
20:52:05BUYNo0.9985$4.89
20:43:53BUYNo0.9978520$19.96
20:43:53BUYNo0.99737$36.50
20:43:53BUYNo0.99837$36.53
20:43:42BUYNo0.99710$9.97
20:43:42BUYNo0.99710$9.97
20:43:41BUYNo0.99720$19.94
20:43:41BUYNo0.99725$25.31
20:11:51BUYNo0.99740$39.88
20:11:51BUYNo0.9975$4.99
05:24:00SELLYes0.00577$0.39
08:56:31SELLYes0.00510$0.05
17:29:09SELLYes0.0050$0.00
14:40:07SELLYes0.0050$0.00
14:39:55SELLYes0.00510$0.05
05:04:36BUYNo0.9951$1.29
13:25:48BUYNo0.99510$9.95