PolyBot

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Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2027-02-01
Resolves by
https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.021. down 0.028 over the period, from 0.050. Range 0.015 to 0.056. 142 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0273636
0.07398135
0.07443177
0.08460237
0.09075312
0.09659371
0.099200571
0.11075646
0.18575721
0.190100821
0.5904831,304
0.7905001,804

Spread0.011Mid0.021

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0161010
0.0144050
0.0132070
0.008125195
0.007200395
0.0061,0231,418
0.0031,0052,423
0.0021,1883,611
0.00148,47852,089

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9841010
0.9864050
0.9872070
0.992125195
0.993200395
0.9941,0231,418
0.9971,0052,423
0.9981,1883,611
0.99948,47852,089

Spread0.011Mid0.978

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9733636
0.92798135
0.92643177
0.91660237
0.91075312
0.90459371
0.901200571
0.89075646
0.81575721
0.810100821
0.4104831,304
0.2105001,804

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
TpezaskeYes3,034.07
sd2333Yes2,700
ImbarusYes1,322.82
cenatogramaYes667.37
xtxpleasecallmeYes475.95
PauliemarketsYes393.09
0xf52b…bdf5Yes266.2
bitconnectYes250
WhaddaheckYes210.89
5atkaYes200
LBZeroYes164.18
ljkilianYes133.94
SiliconTokenYes122.06
xoanonxoYes100.4
PickyFYes100
73f44919CE0143F0e9a05F531f7C8B15c8a483a0.Yes98.3
0x45e0543fEb1CE23c43222d3478FE1dbd2fcbc059-1778266048202Yes90.91
IbnKhaldunYes69.91
HaradwaithYes62.65
0xfb32A6181023691CF59C1FeA03152C279040DA43-1771549979824Yes62.5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
21:04:18SELLNo0.98354$53.08
10:13:07SELLNo0.9766$6.10
15:59:40SELLYes0.01518$0.27
09:45:52SELLYes0.0144$0.05
08:05:05SELLYes0.0155$0.07
19:23:58BUYNo0.9789473778201$196.80
18:16:17SELLNo0.9735$4.87
00:47:44SELLNo0.95911$10.55
20:31:15SELLNo0.95646$43.62
20:03:51BUYNo0.979259697646$44.68
11:23:50BUYYes0.032999999765$2.16
10:18:24SELLNo0.94568702737$34.99
00:32:30SELLNo0.92780$74.16
09:55:48BUYYes0.0289999999238$6.90
10:26:00BUYNo0.9736$5.48
08:25:45BUYNo0.9837$36.26
16:55:26BUYNo0.9796001566100$98.00
21:29:27SELLNo0.984154$151.49
13:40:15SELLNo0.9845$4.92
08:21:51BUYNo0.98420$19.68
15:34:51BUYYes0.027165$4.45
15:05:31BUYYes0.08415$1.26
20:19:59SELLNo0.95115$14.26
19:42:35SELLYes0.01746$0.78
07:47:58SELLNo0.983252$248.09