PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

bitconnect

0xed49c3a4dd77c722601a50467ea2c3b4f5172511

Realised P&L
$355.32
Volume
$26.5k
Markets traded
45
Open portfolio
$738.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded45
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration62.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)69.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2610.160$360.00$226.73
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.8600.955$190.90+$18.90
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5550.405$81.00$30.00
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0220.025$25.50+$3.50
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0070.003$25.00$45.00
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? · Yes0.0600.053$13.25$1.75
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? · Yes0.2000.073$11.03$18.98
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? · Yes0.1000.055$11.00$9.00
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? · Yes0.5000.091$9.15$40.85
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? · Yes0.1900.165$8.47$1.28
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? · Yes0.0300.036$3.65+$0.65
Will Iga Świątek win the 2026 Women's Australian Open? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$12.65
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January? · No0.3270.000$0.00$65.50
Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov · Makhmudov0.1330.000$0.00$40.00
Will Tesla dip to $345 in November? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-24 20:56Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.207$51.75
06-24 19:59Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.206$82.40
05-06 10:41Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?BUY0.189999986$9.75
03-25 13:17Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?SELL0.99$74.25
03-21 21:35UFC Fight Night: Austen Lane vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)SELL0.999$12.67
03-21 21:11UFC Fight Night: Roman Dolidze vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)SELL0.999$10.78
03-21 20:35UFC Fight Night: Danny Silva vs. Kurtis Campbell (Featherweight, Main Card)SELL0.999$8.09
03-12 17:27Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.386$77.20
02-13 16:29Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.27$81.00
01-30 17:51Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?SELL0.997$99.69
01-21 00:05Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?SELL0.024$12.00
07-11 20:50No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?BUY0.94$118.00
06-01 14:17Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?BUY0.1949999938$24.97
05-18 19:12Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?BUY0.35$24.99
05-18 14:59Will Rafał Trzaskowski win the most votes in the first round of the Polish Presidential election?BUY0.125$16.24