bitconnect
0xed49c3a4dd77c722601a50467ea2c3b4f5172511
- Realised P&L
- $355.32
- Volume
- $26.5k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $738.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$798.71at 0.209Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
- +$149.49at 0.250Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
- +$78.25at 0.540Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?
- +$49.70at 0.500Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?
- +$41.99at 0.553Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-24 20:56 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.207 | $51.75 |
| 06-24 19:59 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.206 | $82.40 |
| 05-06 10:41 | Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? | BUY | 0.189999986 | $9.75 |
| 03-25 13:17 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | SELL | 0.99 | $74.25 |
| 03-21 21:35 | UFC Fight Night: Austen Lane vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.999 | $12.67 |
| 03-21 21:11 | UFC Fight Night: Roman Dolidze vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.999 | $10.78 |
| 03-21 20:35 | UFC Fight Night: Danny Silva vs. Kurtis Campbell (Featherweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.999 | $8.09 |
| 03-12 17:27 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.386 | $77.20 |
| 02-13 16:29 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.27 | $81.00 |
| 01-30 17:51 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January? | SELL | 0.997 | $99.69 |
| 01-21 00:05 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.024 | $12.00 |
| 07-11 20:50 | No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.94 | $118.00 |
| 06-01 14:17 | Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland? | BUY | 0.1949999938 | $24.97 |
| 05-18 19:12 | Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland? | BUY | 0.35 | $24.99 |
| 05-18 14:59 | Will Rafał Trzaskowski win the most votes in the first round of the Polish Presidential election? | BUY | 0.125 | $16.24 |