PolyBot

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Traders

0x45e0543fEb1CE23c43222d3478FE1dbd2fcbc059-1778266048202

0x45e0543feb1ce23c43222d3478fe1dbd2fcbc059

Realised P&L
$-58.97
Volume
$8.2k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$9.18

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration84.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? · Yes0.1100.053$4.82$5.18
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · Yes0.7040.042$4.37$69.63
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$10.19
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first? · OpenAI0.0230.000$0.00$2.00
Ebola case in the US by June 30? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00$17.74
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00$20.00
Will England win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.4020.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-20 13:43Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026?SELL0.1085984523$11.37
07-24 11:32Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7642679882$80.00
07-11 22:15Will England win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.402499984$10.00
06-08 18:39Will Apple announce a touchscreen MacBook during the WWDC 2026 keynote?SELL0.01$0.73
06-08 18:38Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone during the WWDC 2026 keynote?SELL0.002$0.18
06-08 14:25Will Apple announce a touchscreen MacBook during the WWDC 2026 keynote?BUY0.0681959611$5.00
06-08 14:18Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone during the WWDC 2026 keynote?BUY0.114142529$10.00
06-06 16:31US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?SELL0.31$122.43
05-27 21:24Ebola case in the US by June 30?BUY0.3699999942$17.74
05-24 10:51US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?BUY0.6999999936$11.00
05-24 10:46US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2299999931$20.00
05-24 10:16US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.25$77.00
05-23 11:16Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?BUY0.1099999913$10.00
05-21 05:29Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?BUY0.0228180262$2.00
05-21 05:28Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?SELL0.005$2.04