0xfb32A6181023691CF59C1FeA03152C279040DA43-1771549979824
0xfb32a6181023691cf59c1fea03152c279040da43
- Realised P&L
- $6.71
- Volume
- $142.07
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $42.10
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US recession by end of 2026? · No | 0.700 | 0.905 | $38.79 | +$8.79 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.053 | $3.31 | −$6.69 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.89at 0.720Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
- +$2.82at 0.780Will Iran strike Israel on March 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-08 02:49 | Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $0.04 |
| 03-08 02:34 | Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 03-08 02:33 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.6999533364 | $30.00 |
| 03-08 02:09 | Will Iran strike Israel on March 10? | BUY | 0.7199999856 | $10.00 |
| 03-08 02:09 | Will Iran strike Israel on March 9? | BUY | 0.7799999984 | $10.00 |