PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xfb32A6181023691CF59C1FeA03152C279040DA43-1771549979824

0xfb32a6181023691cf59c1fea03152c279040da43

Realised P&L
$6.71
Volume
$142.07
Markets traded
5
Open portfolio
$42.10

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded5
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration58.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration92.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.7000.905$38.79+$8.79
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? · Yes0.1600.053$3.31$6.69
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$2.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-08 02:49Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?BUY0.21$0.04
03-08 02:34Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?BUY0.16$10.00
03-08 02:33US recession by end of 2026?BUY0.6999533364$30.00
03-08 02:09Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?BUY0.7199999856$10.00
03-08 02:09Will Iran strike Israel on March 9?BUY0.7799999984$10.00