Pauliemarkets
0x0377f289ff75135abde2d17904e75a782ed41833
- Realised P&L
- $-416.47
- Volume
- $67.2k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $161.18
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)19.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$283.35at 0.030Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
- +$109.25at 0.084Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 12 and 15 on April 19, 2026?
- +$9.61at 0.021Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
- +$0.13at 0.987Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?
- +$-5.24at 0.056Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 04:36 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 08-06 04:33 | Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? | BUY | 0.0769999934 | $10.00 |
| 08-06 04:33 | Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? | BUY | 0.0936926232 | $10.00 |
| 08-06 04:33 | Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? | BUY | 0.1042653945 | $10.00 |
| 07-29 18:56 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999951 | $20.00 |
| 07-29 18:56 | Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? | BUY | 0.0239329045 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 18:56 | Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 07-29 18:55 | Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? | BUY | 0.070999987 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 18:54 | Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1070794661 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 18:54 | Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1499999887 | $10.00 |
| 07-29 18:54 | Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0535714186 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 18:53 | Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1762079896 | $10.00 |
| 07-29 18:51 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $20.00 |
| 07-29 18:47 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.885 | $295.05 |
| 06-23 13:10 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999899 | $10.00 |