PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Pauliemarkets

0x0377f289ff75135abde2d17904e75a782ed41833

Realised P&L
$-416.47
Volume
$67.2k
Markets traded
60
Open portfolio
$161.18

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded60
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration70.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)19.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US recession by end of 2026? · Yes0.1490.095$44.73$25.27
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? · Yes0.0370.036$34.03$0.96
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1500.385$25.67+$15.67
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? · Yes0.1020.053$20.83$19.17
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? · Yes0.0750.073$14.72$0.28
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.0840.018$8.81$31.19
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? · Yes0.1260.055$8.71$11.29
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.2000.065$3.25$6.75
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1070.003$0.14$4.86
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0440.001$0.11$9.89
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0520.001$0.10$9.90
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0700.001$0.07$9.93
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$10.00
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? · No0.0010.000$0.00$2.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-06 04:36US recession by end of 2026?BUY0.1$10.00
08-06 04:33Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?BUY0.0769999934$10.00
08-06 04:33Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?BUY0.0936926232$10.00
08-06 04:33Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?BUY0.1042653945$10.00
07-29 18:56US recession by end of 2026?BUY0.1299999951$20.00
07-29 18:56Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?BUY0.0239329045$5.00
07-29 18:56Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?BUY0.16$10.00
07-29 18:55Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?BUY0.070999987$5.00
07-29 18:54Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.1070794661$5.00
07-29 18:54Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.1499999887$10.00
07-29 18:54Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0535714186$5.00
07-29 18:53Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.1762079896$10.00
07-29 18:51Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?BUY0.08$20.00
07-29 18:47Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.885$295.05
06-23 13:10Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?BUY0.1199999899$10.00