PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

SiliconToken

0x53c6286b0b943983cc92e7aa5d13477424ba7f60

Realised P&L
$-185.67
Volume
$22.9k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$14.33

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration57.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? · Yes0.1640.067$8.18$11.82
Human moon landing in 2026? · Yes0.0450.018$3.96$6.04
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition? · Yes0.0140.003$2.19$7.81
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$5.00
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$5.00
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? · Yes0.0690.000$0.00$10.00
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.0920.000$0.00$10.00
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$5.00
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$5.00
Will Donald Trump announce Jeanine Pirro as the next United States Attorney General by June 30? · Yes0.0670.000$0.00$9.63
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? · No0.0020.000$0.00$20.00
Starmer out by May 15, 2026? · Yes0.1410.000$0.00$50.00
US forces enter Iran by April 30? · No0.0030.000$0.00$15.00
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$5.00
Netanyahu out by April 30? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$5.00

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-12 10:18Starmer out by May 15, 2026?BUY0.1409999976$50.00
04-10 09:06US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?BUY0.001$10.00
04-08 13:06US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.002$5.00
04-08 11:23US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?BUY0.004$10.00
04-07 09:28Will Donald Trump announce Jeanine Pirro as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?BUY0.06717947$9.25
04-05 14:2850m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?BUY0.0534810381$10.00
04-05 14:23Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?BUY0.1638475198$20.00
04-05 14:22Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?BUY0.0118151692$5.00
04-05 14:19Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?BUY0.003$5.00
04-05 14:13Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?BUY0.0136878528$10.00
04-05 14:10Human moon landing in 2026?BUY0.0454639755$10.00
04-05 14:08Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?BUY0.011$5.00
04-05 14:08Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?BUY0.0333333333$5.00
04-05 14:04Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?BUY0.0923179588$10.00
04-05 14:02Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?BUY0.016$5.00