PolyBot

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Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2027-02-01

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.036. Unchanged over the period, from 0.036. Range 0.035 to 0.051. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.04077
0.0677582
0.66950132
0.67033165
0.78033198
0.88940238
0.890250488
0.944312800
0.9457501,550
0.97791,559
0.978201,579
0.990201,599

Spread0.007Mid0.037

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0334545
0.0321863
0.027136200
0.02654254
0.02520274
0.01653327
0.01554381
0.00445426
0.003389815
0.0022,2233,038
0.00136,97240,010

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9674545
0.9681863
0.973136200
0.97454254
0.97520274
0.98453327
0.98554381
0.99645426
0.997389815
0.9982,2233,038
0.99936,97240,010

Spread0.007Mid0.964

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.96077
0.9337582
0.33150132
0.33033165
0.22033198
0.11140238
0.110250488
0.056312800
0.0557501,550
0.02391,559
0.022201,579
0.010201,599

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
MrDracoYes1,425.29
PauliemarketsYes932.46
plsnoloseYes828.7
0xAfa6Cdc920149c1cDC5662683AFd3E5d03c09A51-1768570300400Yes570.1
ImbarusYes481.59
0xf52b…bdf5Yes454.77
Ardtysrt01Yes150.95
bitconnectYes100
0xf3202701EC0b9C91FBB1Fb6919D6f33118c893c0-1761516414460Yes49.99
GoreaYes42.06
ACaraYes38.74
LavinceyYes35
ToyflagmanYes32.26
AJSVYes32.07
EyebrowsYes21
descentYes20
SlackjawYes19.99
0x117879e54632d2342d6F0F5f48789E064bE269bB-1769017710895Yes15
BetterFishYes10.7
NiromeroYes10.53

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
20:05:12SELLNo0.9643$41.63
21:57:22BUYNo0.935308203843$40.56
00:21:52SELLNo0.959632653149$47.02
00:36:34SELLNo0.95814$13.20
20:07:57SELLNo0.9588$7.24
14:27:33SELLNo0.95815$14.48
11:18:25SELLNo0.95718$17.23
17:07:42SELLNo0.9623$22.08
17:07:42SELLNo0.9627$25.92
19:56:10SELLNo0.962$2.00
13:54:30BUYYes0.0473$2.91
13:54:28SELLNo0.9610$9.27
13:54:28SELLNo0.962$1.79
17:10:19SELLNo0.9179873496145$132.80
05:00:58SELLNo0.94420$18.88
08:00:11BUYNo0.651,024$665.82
07:59:48BUYNo0.64999997312$1.21
07:59:48BUYNo0.649999931311$7.10
07:59:47BUYNo0.649999994810$6.28
07:51:26BUYNo0.758$6.06
07:51:17BUYNo0.7511$8.07
07:51:08BUYNo0.7511$8.07
07:50:59BUYNo0.7511$8.07
07:50:50BUYNo0.7511$8.07
07:50:41BUYNo0.7511$8.07