PolyBot

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Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2027-02-01
Resolves by
https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.020. down 0.002 over the period, from 0.022. Range 0.020 to 0.026. 150 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0302222
0.0312749
0.032756
0.03355112
0.05015127
0.06775202
0.10015217
0.5895222
0.590483705
0.67033738
0.78033771
0.8902501,021

Spread0.020Mid0.020

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0101010
0.0073444
0.006103147
0.005286433
0.004418851
0.0035681,419
0.0023,8865,305
0.00137,06742,372

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9901010
0.9933444
0.994103147
0.995286433
0.996418851
0.9975681,419
0.9983,8865,305
0.99937,06742,372

Spread0.020Mid0.980

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9702222
0.9692749
0.968756
0.96755112
0.95015127
0.93375202
0.90015217
0.4115222
0.410483705
0.33033738
0.22033771
0.1102501,021

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
PauliemarketsYes932.46
plsnoloseYes828.7
0xAfa6Cdc920149c1cDC5662683AFd3E5d03c09A51-1768570300400Yes570.1
ImbarusYes481.59
0xf52b…bdf5Yes454.77
Ardtysrt01Yes150.95
bitconnectYes100
xtxpleasecallmeYes95.56
crossFiterYes55.4
0xf3202701EC0b9C91FBB1Fb6919D6f33118c893c0-1761516414460Yes49.99
GoreaYes42.06
ACaraYes38.74
LavinceyYes35
ToyflagmanYes32.26
sanduspaceYes30
PPMTYes22.39
EyebrowsYes21
descentYes20
SlackjawYes19.99
0x117879e54632d2342d6F0F5f48789E064bE269bB-1769017710895Yes15

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
15:59:28SELLYes0.0197$0.13
05:16:54SELLNo0.9715$4.85
03:26:36SELLNo0.9733$2.62
19:42:39BUYNo0.9910$9.90
06:15:29BUYYes0.0254$1.07
02:49:19BUYYes0.01810$0.18
06:59:18SELLNo0.997724$722.17
16:02:11SELLNo0.997300$299.10
15:21:23SELLNo0.99711$10.58
11:20:24SELLYes0.00384$0.25
11:48:17SELLYes0.00546531211,425$7.79
18:53:42SELLNo0.9620$19.20
20:33:55BUYNo0.96818$17.42
11:39:14SELLNo0.934134110845$41.65
02:51:19SELLNo0.9646$44.55
20:05:12SELLNo0.9643$41.63
21:57:22BUYNo0.935308203843$40.56
00:21:52SELLNo0.959632653149$47.02
00:36:34SELLNo0.95814$13.20
20:07:57SELLNo0.9588$7.24
14:27:33SELLNo0.95815$14.48
11:18:25SELLNo0.95718$17.23
17:07:42SELLNo0.9623$22.08
17:07:42SELLNo0.9627$25.92
19:56:10SELLNo0.962$2.00