Eyebrows
0x63f1557aa24e04afe36b2f36a3e4c2eeb8526272
- Realised P&L
- $-10.4k
- Volume
- $2.55M
- Markets traded
- 2,128
- Open portfolio
- $462.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,128
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.180Will Trump win Florida by 8+ points?
- +$1.4kat 0.153Will the debate have 65-70 million viewers?
- +$1.2kat 0.836US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
- +$883.65at 0.005Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?
- +$851.30at 0.313US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 06:02 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.00 |
| 10-18 06:01 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.94 | $9.40 |
| 10-14 18:27 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election? | BUY | 0.58 | $29.00 |
| 10-14 18:23 | Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $22.00 |
| 10-14 18:21 | Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $27.50 |
| 09-26 05:59 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.11 | $11.00 |
| 09-22 02:15 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | SELL | 0.29 | $29.00 |
| 08-16 19:33 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.56 | $28.00 |
| 08-02 22:23 | Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | BUY | 0.078 | $11.70 |
| 07-25 19:43 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $22.50 |
| 07-24 22:32 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.371414 | $148.57 |
| 07-23 16:32 | Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.879 | $131.85 |
| 07-23 16:32 | Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.968 | $141.33 |
| 07-22 03:55 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $22.50 |
| 07-20 00:30 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July? | BUY | 0.87 | $217.50 |