PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Eyebrows

0x63f1557aa24e04afe36b2f36a3e4c2eeb8526272

Realised P&L
$-10.4k
Volume
$2.55M
Markets traded
2,128
Open portfolio
$462.63

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,128
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.8800.935$116.88+$6.88
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? · No0.8720.930$116.25+$7.25
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1570.034$83.75−$308.74
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.5600.885$44.25+$16.25
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? · Yes0.5500.785$39.25+$11.75
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election? · Yes0.5800.535$26.75−$2.25
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat? · Yes0.3600.405$10.13+$1.13
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · Yes0.1460.041$8.71−$22.64
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.020$4.00−$20.00
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? · Yes0.0780.025$3.67−$8.03
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1800.032$3.20−$14.80
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.018$2.63−$6.38
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.0600.045$2.25−$0.75
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? · Yes0.0270.020$0.42−$0.15
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.4500.075$0.38−$1.88

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 06:02Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.06$3.00
10-18 06:01Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.94$9.40
10-14 18:27Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?BUY0.58$29.00
10-14 18:23Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?BUY0.88$22.00
10-14 18:21Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?BUY0.55$27.50
09-26 05:59US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.11$11.00
09-22 02:15Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?SELL0.29$29.00
08-16 19:33Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.56$28.00
08-02 22:23Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?BUY0.078$11.70
07-25 19:43Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.09$22.50
07-24 22:32Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.371414$148.57
07-23 16:32Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?BUY0.879$131.85
07-23 16:32Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?BUY0.968$141.33
07-22 03:55Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.09$22.50
07-20 00:30Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?BUY0.87$217.50